Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 15

Date: 8 July 2023, Saturday

Location: NAMMO Stadion (Raufoss)

Referee: Stofringshaug M. (Nor)


	Raufoss		Kristiansund

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	2.15	Watch
	2.95	3.6	2.1
	3.25	3.65	2.04
	3.11	3.88	2.15
	2.75	3.4	2.2
	3.2	3.68	2.11	Watch
	2.9	3.55	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.75)	3.62 ↑ (3.1)	2.13 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raufoss
30.6%

Draw
25.7%

Kristiansund
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

29%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

30.1%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raufoss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Kristiansund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kristiansund's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raufoss than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kristiansund than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	26.7%	73.3%

Raufoss - Kristiansund Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Kristiansund will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kristiansund: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lauvli O. (C) 11. Fremstad N. 14. Haruna J. 4. Westerlund S. 20. Simenstad G. 22. Teigen A. 6. Hammer H. 10. Mettler L. 16. Orsahl J. 7. Osterud A. 9. Helmersen A.	30. Mbaye S. (G) 19. Coly A. 5. Ulvestad D. (C) 26. Williamsen M. 2. Nilsen S. 21. Broholm M. 16. Konradsen Ceide M. 8. Kartum S. 15. Rakneberg M. 9. Stokke B. 17. Willumsson B.
Substitutes
26. Brattbakk F. 3. Engebakken T. 31. Fagereng A. (G) 21. Fagernes M. 5. Gudjonsson A. 15. Racaj A. 18. Somesi K.	38. Alemseged A. 31. Alvheim L. 7. Gjertsen T. 6. Hopmark A. 14. Isaksen J. 11. Mawa M. 13. Olsen M. 12. Saether A. (G) 29. Weidel M.
Coaches
Walemark J.	Michelsen C.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 14 in the zone OBOS~ligaen (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Kristiansund could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Raufoss won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Raufoss won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raufoss Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.07.23	Bryne - Raufoss	4:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
28.06.23	Raufoss - Viking Stavanger	5:4 penalties ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
25.06.23	Raufoss - Skeid	1:0 ✺
10.06.23	Jerv - Raufoss	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
07.06.23	Mjøndalen - Raufoss	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 LWWLW
- Kristiansund BK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
01.07.23	Kristiansund - Hødd	4:0 ✺
25.06.23	Åsane - Kristiansund	2:2 ✺
10.06.23	Kristiansund - Moss	4:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
07.06.23	Kristiansund - Molde	0:1 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.06.23	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Kristiansund	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
18.09.16	Raufoss - Kristiansund	1:2
24.04.16	Kristiansund - Raufoss	2:1

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