Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 28

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Kristiansund Stadion (Kristiansund)

Referee: Kringstad S. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play
World	Onefootball


	Kristiansund		Strømsgodset

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.1	4	Watch
	1.78	4.15	3.95	Watch
	1.81	4.25	4.18
	2.04	3.92	3.18	Watch
	1.77	4.15	4.05	Watch
	1.9	3.8	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.04)	4.06 ↑ (3.92)	3.78 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kristiansund
51.5%

Draw
23.4%

Strømsgodset
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

24.1%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

23.1%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kristiansund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kristiansund's performance.

Strømsgodset has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kristiansund than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kristiansund that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strømsgodset than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Strømsgodset could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	18.2%	18.2%

Kristiansund - Strømsgodset Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Kristiansund will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Strømsgodset will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kristiansund: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kristiansund (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Saether A. (G) 22. Hoffmann I. 4. Olsen M. 5. Ulvestad D. (C) 15. Rakneberg M. 10. Corlu R. 8. Sletsjoe H. 18. Odegard N. 16. Tufekcic D. 19. Alvheim L. 9. Kilen S.	1. Bratveit P. (G) 26. Vilsvik L. 25. Taaje J. 71. Valsvik G. (C) 27. Dahl F. 84. Skistad A. 10. Stengel H. 17. Bakke J. 77. Mehnert M. 9. Melkersen E. 16. Vilaseca Ardraa F. P.
Substitutes
2. Borset A. 3. Flex F. 33. Haugen H. 7. Isah M. 21. Jelicic I. 31. Opsahl H. 6. Skeide S. 26. Skjaerstein A. (G) 17. Williamsen M.	99. Ampofo J. 20. Conteh A. 15. Heredia-Randen A. 6. Marcello Silalahi S. A. 5. Sormo B. 38. Torkildsen J. (G) 4. Westerlund S. 80. Wikheim G.
Coaches
Skiri A.	Fagermo D

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', Taaje J. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Alvheim L. (Pen),
45+1', 2 - 0, Alvheim L. ⚽, Rakneberg M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Skistad A. ↓, Wikheim G. ↑,
46', Melkersen E. ↓, Conteh A. ↑,
53', 2 - 1, Vilaseca Ardraa F. P. ⚽, Dahl F. (A),
66', Tufekcic D. ↓, Skeide S. ↑,
66', Kilen S. ↓, Ubandoma I. ↑,
73', Corlu R. ↓, Haugen H. ↑,
73', Hoffmann I. ↓, Williamsen M. ↑,
79', Olsen M. 🟨,
80', Bakke J. ↓, Westerlund S. ↑,
87', Alvheim L. 🟨,
87', Wikheim G. 🟨,
88', Sletsjoe H. ↓, Jelicic I. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kristiansund won 2.

Kristiansund has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Strømsgodset is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Kristiansund will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Kristiansund: Igor W. (Injury) Lansing M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Strømsgodset: Farji M. (Yellow Cards) Johansen E. H. (Injury) Lampinen-Skaug S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Kristiansund: Kryger A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Strømsgodset: Ekeland J. (Injury) Wikheim G. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Kristiansund won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:29. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Kristiansund won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.5:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kristiansund BK
Norwegian Eliteserien
02.11.25	Fredrikstad - Kristiansund	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Kristiansund - Hamarkameratene	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Kristiansund	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Kristiansund - Molde	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Bryne - Kristiansund	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLTWL
- Strømsgodset IF
Norwegian Eliteserien
02.11.25	Strømsgodset - Viking Stavanger	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Vålerenga - Strømsgodset	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Strømsgodset - Fredrikstad	0:3 ✺
05.10.25	Strømsgodset - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Tromsø - Strømsgodset	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
04.05.25	Strømsgodset - Kristiansund	1:2
Club Friendly
26.02.25	Kristiansund - Strømsgodset	2:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
20.10.24	Kristiansund - Strømsgodset	0:0
Norwegian NM Cup
01.05.24	Strømsgodset - Kristiansund	4:0
Norwegian Eliteserien
28.04.24	Strømsgodset - Kristiansund	2:2
18.09.22	Strømsgodset - Kristiansund	4:1
16.05.22	Kristiansund - Strømsgodset	0:3

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