Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 25

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Marienlyst Stadion (Drammen)

Referee: Higraff D. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
World	Onefootball


	Strømsgodset		Fredrikstad

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3	Watch
	2.35	3.55	2.85
	2.35	3.65	3.09
	2.62	2.71	3.20	Watch
	2.36	3.65	2.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.35)	3.39 ↓ (3.55)	3 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strømsgodset
40%

Draw
28.2%

Fredrikstad
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

26.8%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

26.5%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strømsgodset has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Fredrikstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strømsgodset than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	30%	40%

Strømsgodset - Fredrikstad Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Strømsgodset will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Fredrikstad will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fredrikstad: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fredrikstad (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bratveit P. (G) 26. Vilsvik L. 25. Taaje J. 71. Valsvik G. (C) 27. Dahl F. 17. Bakke J. 10. Stengel H. 16. Vilaseca Ardraa F. P. 21. Farji M. 20. Conteh A. 80. Wikheim G.	77. Borsheim M. (G) 28. Owusu S. 12. Fredriksen U. 22. Woledzi M. 11. Metcalfe P. 20. Ohlenschlaeger O. 6. Owusu L. (C) 9. Laghzaoui S. 13. Sorlokk S. 14. Bjartalid J. 23. Skogvold H.
Substitutes
99. Ampofo J. 14. Enersen O. 8. Krasniqi K. 6. Marcello Silalahi S. A. 77. Mehnert M. 84. Skistad A. 5. Sormo B. 38. Torkildsen J. (G) 4. Westerlund S.	18. Begby L. 16. Eid D. 40. Granaas E. 17. Kvile S. 2. Okpaleke K. 1. Ovretveit O. (G) 5. Rafn S. 21. Yrga-Alem F.
Coaches
Fagermo D	Hagen A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
62', Farji M. ↓, Mehnert M. ↑,
64', Skogvold H. 🟨,
67', 0 - 1, Ohlenschlaeger O. ⚽, Skogvold H. (A),
71', 0 - 2, Fredriksen U. ⚽,
77', 0 - 3, Skogvold H. ⚽, Shein R. R. (A),
78', Conteh A. ↓, Ampofo J. ↑,
78', Vilaseca Ardraa F. P. ↓, Krasniqi K. ↑,
79', Owusu S. ↓, Kvile S. ↑,
80', Metcalfe P. ↓, Eid D. ↑,
80', Shein R. R. ↓, Granaas E. ↑,
84', Skogvold H. ↓, Rafn S. ↑,
86', Woledzi M. ↓, Okpaleke K. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strømsgodset won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Strømsgodset: Andersen E. (Knee Injury) Johansen E. H. (Knock) Lampinen-Skaug S. (Knock) Melkersen E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Fredrikstad: Birkso V. (Knock) Faraas B. (Leg Injury) Yrga-Alem F. (Injury)

There are questionable in Strømsgodset: Ekeland J. (Knock)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Strømsgodset won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 2.2:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Strømsgodset won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:9. (average 2.4:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Fredrikstad - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 32.82%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Strømsgodset IF
Norwegian Eliteserien
05.10.25	Strømsgodset - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Tromsø - Strømsgodset	3:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.09.25	Strømsgodset - Molde	1:2 penalties ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.09.25	Strømsgodset - Sarpsborg 08	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Hamarkameratene - Strømsgodset	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLLWW
- Fredrikstad FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
05.10.25	Fredrikstad - Hamarkameratene	1:1 ✺
01.10.25	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Fredrikstad	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Brann - Fredrikstad	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
23.09.25	Vålerenga - Fredrikstad	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
20.09.25	Fredrikstad - Bryne	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
25.07.25	Fredrikstad - Strømsgodset	3:2
Club Friendly
15.03.25	Fredrikstad - Strømsgodset	1:2
Norwegian Eliteserien
26.10.24	Strømsgodset - Fredrikstad	2:0
16.05.24	Fredrikstad - Strømsgodset	4:1
Club Friendly
23.03.24	Strømsgodset - Fredrikstad	1:1
31.01.23	Strømsgodset - Fredrikstad	3:2
02.05.21	Strømsgodset - Fredrikstad	1:6

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