The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kryvbas 16.5%
Draw 20.8%
Shakhtar Donetsk 62.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.2%
18.3%
65.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.2%
19.5%
69.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kryvbas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kryvbas than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shakhtar Donetsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kryvbas - Shakhtar Donetsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Kemkin O. (G) 2. Jurcec J. 4. Vilivald V. 15. Jones J. 5. Bekavac A. 6. Araujo A. 14. Seck A. 10. Herbert G. 8. Shevchenko Volodymyrovych Y. 7. Mendoza G. (C) 24. Mulyk V.
48. Tvardovskyi D. (G) 18. Ghram A. 5. Bondar V. (C) 29. Nazaryna Y. 13. Henrique P. 8. Kryskiv D. 37. Lucas Ferreira 21. Bondarenko A. 14. Isaque Silva 7. Eguinaldo 2. Traore L.
Substitutes
20. Bodnar M. 25. Butenko T. 55. Dibango Y. 21. Kamensky O. 1. Khoma B. (G) 18. Lin B. 30. Makhankov V. (G) 28. Maya J. 19. Mayakov Y. 9. Paraco C. 3. Rojas C. 16. Thiago Borges
3. Arroyo D. 16. Azarovi I. 23. Fesyun K. (G) 49. Luca Meirelles 6. Marlon Gomes 11. Newerton 68. Obah P. 27. Ocheretko O. 10. Pedrinho 9. Shved M.
Coaches
van Leeuwen P.
Turan A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
14', Ghram A. ↓, Azarovi I. ↑,
22', Eguinaldo ↓, Obah P. ↑,
23', Araujo A. 🟨,
31', Vilivald V. 🟨,
34', Isaque Silva 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Traore L. ⚽, Azarovi I. (A),
45', 0 - 2, Obah P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Seck A. ↓, Lin B. ↑,
46', Isaque Silva ↓, Ocheretko O. ↑,
52', Jones J. 🟨,
57', Herbert G. 🟨,
58', 1 - 2, Mendoza G. ⚽,
60', Herbert G. ↓, Paraco C. ↑,
60', Mulyk V. ↓, Butenko T. ↑,
63', Butenko T. 🟨,
68', 1 - 3, Obah P. ⚽,
73', Bekavac A. ↓, Thiago Borges ↑,
79', Traore L. ↓, Luca Meirelles ↑,
79', Lucas Ferreira ↓, Shved M. ↑,
83', Jones J. ↓, Dibango Y. ↑,
87', 2 - 3, Shevchenko Volodymyrovych Y. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
Shakhtar is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kryvbas won 0.
Kryvbas is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Shakhtar has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Kryvbas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Shakhtar is the team to beat.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Kryvbas won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:20. (average 1:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Kryvbas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 1:2.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Shakhtar Donetsk
7
6
0
1
15:4
11
18
14
Kryvbas
6
1
2
3
7:10
-3
5
Last Results with these Odds
Shakhtar Donetsk - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 65.47%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Ukraine
World
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Kemkin O. (G) 
Jurcec J. 
Jones J. 
Araujo A. 
Seck A. 
Ghram A. 
Henrique P. 
Traore L. 
Dibango Y. 
Lin B. 
Maya J. 
Arroyo D. 
Azarovi I. 
Obah P. 
van Leeuwen P. 
Turan A. 
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