Match Info

Date: 3 November 2026, Tuesday ⏱️ In 6d 11h 📅 Remind Me


	Shakhtar Donetsk		Sporting Lisbon

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.7	1.9
	3.75	3.70	1.90
	3.7	3.8	1.98
	3.75	3.9	1.98
	3.58	3.81	1.96	Watch
	3.55	3.8	1.91
	3.91	3.96	1.97
	3.6	3.75	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (3.64)	3.8 ↓ (3.89)	1.94 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhtar Donetsk
25.8%

Draw
25.1%

Sporting Lisbon
49.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.1%

24.4%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

24.8%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Shakhtar Donetsk - Sporting Lisbon Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Shakhtar will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Sporting will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stamford Bridge.

Shakhtar has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Sporting have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Recently, Shakhtar has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

Sporting is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Sporting CP	3	2	0	1	7:4	3	6
17	Shakhtar Donetsk	3	1	1	1	4:3	1	4

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Sporting CP: 0.84%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Cup
27.10.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Dynamo Kyiv	3:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
24.10.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Zorya Luhansk	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.26	Inter Milan - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
17.10.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kolos Kovalivka	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.10.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - AEK Athens	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTLWW
- Sporting Lisbon
Portuguese League Cup
27.10.26	Sporting Lisbon - Marítimo	2:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
25.10.26	Sporting Lisbon - Académico de Viseu	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.26	Sporting Lisbon - LASK Linz	2:3 ✺
13.10.26	Lens - Sporting Lisbon	0:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
09.10.26	Braga - Sporting Lisbon	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLWW

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