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Current Win Probability
Dynamo Kyiv 37.9%
Draw 27.6%
Shakhtar Donetsk 34.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.6%
26.6%
40.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.9%
26%
41.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dynamo Kyiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dynamo Kyiv's performance.
Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shakhtar Donetsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Kyiv than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dynamo Kyiv that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shakhtar Donetsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Dynamo Kyiv - Shakhtar Donetsk Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Neshcheret R. (G) 20. Karavaev O. 40. Bilovar K. 32. Mykhavko T. 2. Vivcharenko K. 91. Mykhaylenko M. 7. Yarmolenko A. 29. Buyalskyy V. (C) 10. Shaparenko M. 70. Redushko B. 11. Ponomarenko M.
31. Riznyk D. (G) 18. Ghram A. 4. Marlon 22. Matviienko M. 16. Azarovi I. 29. Nazaryna Y. 37. Lucas Ferreira 21. Bondarenko A. 14. Isaque Silva 11. Newerton 2. Traore L.
Substitutes
77. Blanuta V. 44. Dubinchak V. 39. Guerrero E. 13. Korobov M. 51. Morgun V. (G) 16. Ogundana S. 18. Ozymai V. 8. Pikhalyonok O. 71. Surkis V. (G) 66. Thiare A. 5. Yatsyk O. 34. Zakharchenko V.
30. Alisson 5. Bondar V. 7. Eguinaldo 13. Henrique P. 8. Kryskiv D. 49. Luca Meirelles 6. Marlon Gomes 68. Obah P. 27. Ocheretko O. 10. Pedrinho 17. Tobias V. 48. Tvardovskyi D. (G)
Coaches
Kostyuk I.
Turan A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Ponomarenko M. ⚽,
27', Marlon ↓, Tobias V. ↑,
32', Tobias V. 🟨,
34', Matviienko M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Nazaryna Y. ↓, Kryskiv D. ↑,
46', Newerton ↓, Obah P. ↑,
46', Bilovar K. 🟨,
50', 1 - 1, Lucas Ferreira ⚽, Traore L. (A),
63', Bondarenko A. ↓, Ocheretko O. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Traore L. ⚽,
70', Yarmolenko A. ↓, Ogundana S. ↑,
70', Buyalskyy V. ↓, Yatsyk O. ↑,
76', Mykhaylenko M. ↓, Pikhalyonok O. ↑,
76', Azarovi I. ↓, Henrique P. ↑,
84', Redushko B. ↓, Dubinchak V. ↑,
84', Shaparenko M. ↓, Guerrero E. ↑,
90', Ponomarenko M. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo won 1.
Recent performances by Dynamo have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Shakhtar is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Shakhtar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dynamo won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:33. (average 1.1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.1:1.4).
Ukraine
World
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Neshcheret R. (G) 
Ghram A. 
Marlon 
Azarovi I. 
Traore L. 
Blanuta V. 
Guerrero E. 
Ogundana S. 
Thiare A. 
Turan A. 
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