Match Info

Ykkonen

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Vare Areena (Kuopio)


	KuPS Akatemia		Atlantis Helsinki

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.75	2.3
	2.87	3.6	2
	2.6	3.7	2.25
	2.67	3.9	2.33
	2.61	3.73	2.29
	2.9	3.5	2.1
	2.59	3.8	2.27
	2.55	3.65	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.85)	3.7 ↓ (3.75)	2.23 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KuPS Akatemia
34.4%

Draw
24.7%

Atlantis Helsinki
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

24.3%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

24.8%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KuPS Akatemia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Atlantis Helsinki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS Akatemia than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlantis Helsinki than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

KuPS Akatemia - Atlantis Helsinki Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. KuPS Akatemia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pitkanen M. (G) 18. Balde O. 38. Boateng E. 13. Kauppinen E. (C) 23. Mattila N. 7. Puolitaival E. 21. Sahimaa L. 28. Salo R. 27. Tanninen E. 2. Tikkanen R. 11. Ylonen E.	99. Abdi A. (G) 20. Adam Y. 94. Ajunwoko C. 3. Fujioka S. 24. Jokiniemi N. 18. Katashira C. 7. Ndaziramiye N. 77. Niska R. 2. Okaizumi S. 5. Sevcenko V. 12. Sfishta A.
Substitutes
12. Aimola J. (G) 26. Baseme A. 22. Hukkanen T. 17. Karjalainen A. 15. Kivijarvi J. 8. Kivijarvi N. 16. Koistinen A. 10. Lemarie A. 20. Savola I.	39. Koivuharju R. 23. Nworah D. 35. Singh A. 42. Tarkiainen A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Katashira C. ⚽,
40', Niska R. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Mattila N. (Pen),
2nd Half (4 - 1)
47', 2 - 1, Ylonen E. ⚽,
49', 3 - 1, Balde O. ⚽,
60', Sevcenko V. ↓, Nworah D. ↑,
65', Kauppinen E. 🟨,
67', Adam Y. ↓, Singh A. ↑,
71', Ndaziramiye N. 🟨,
71', Sahimaa L. ↓, Kivijarvi J. ↑,
71', Tanninen E. ↓, Kivijarvi N. ↑,
76', 3 - 2, Jokiniemi N. ⚽,
83', 4 - 2, Ylonen E. ⚽,
85', 5 - 2, Kivijarvi N. ⚽,
85', Puolitaival E. ↓, Baseme A. ↑,
89', Ylonen E. ↓, Karjalainen A. ↑,
90+2', Pitkanen M. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KuPS Akatemia won 0.

KuPS Akatemia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atlantis has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

KuPS Akatemia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Atlantis could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, KuPS Akatemia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:17. (average 0.7:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, KuPS Akatemia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.7:3.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KuPS Akatemia
Finnish Ykkonen
03.05.25	KPV Kokkola - KuPS Akatemia	1:0 ✺
28.04.25	Keski-Uusimaa - KuPS Akatemia	2:2 ✺
20.04.25	KuPS Akatemia - Jazz Pori	2:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
16.04.25	KuPS Akatemia - JJK Jyväskylä	4:3 penalties ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
11.04.25	KuPS Akatemia - JJK Jyväskylä	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LTWWW
- Atlantis Helsinki
Finnish Cup
07.05.25	Atlantis Helsinki - KaPa	2:1 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
02.05.25	Atlantis Helsinki - Keski-Uusimaa	2:3 ✺
26.04.25	Jazz Pori - Atlantis Helsinki	0:3 ✺
20.04.25	Atlantis Helsinki - Espoon Palloseura	0:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
15.04.25	Espoon Palloseura 2 - Atlantis Helsinki	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
31.08.24	KuPS Akatemia - Atlantis Helsinki	2:5
12.06.24	Atlantis Helsinki - KuPS Akatemia	3:1
Finnish Kakkonen Promotion Play Offs
22.10.23	Atlantis Helsinki - KuPS Akatemia	3:1
15.10.23	KuPS Akatemia - Atlantis Helsinki	0:3
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
09.08.22	Atlantis Helsinki - KuPS Akatemia	1:0
20.05.22	KuPS Akatemia - Atlantis Helsinki	0:2

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