Match Info

Ykkonen - Championship Group

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Vare Areena (Kuopio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	KuPS Akatemia		Mikkelin Palloilijat

	1	X	2
	5	5.75	1.36
	6.25	4.75	1.35
	5.9	4.95	1.35
	8.18	5.57	1.35
	2.10	3.13	3.51	Watch
	6.92	4.85	1.37
	5.8	4.9	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.74 ↑ (5.29)	4.84 ↑ (4.84)	1.66 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KuPS Akatemia
17.8%

Draw
21%

Mikkelin Palloilijat
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

19%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

18.6%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KuPS Akatemia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Mikkelin Palloilijat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS Akatemia than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikkelin Palloilijat than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

KuPS Akatemia - Mikkelin Palloilijat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pitkanen M. (G) 9. Ahmad Al Sheikh M. 18. Balde O. 37. Kivijarvi J. 8. Kivijarvi N. 19. Kohonen L. 21. Partanen T. 14. Rasanen E. (C) 16. Tanninen E. 28. Tikkanen R. 11. Ylonen E.	22. Uronen J. (C) 30. Ali Abubakar T. 7. Chishima A. 13. Coker M. 27. Forsell N. 19. Janhunen V. 12. Kimari O. 15. Kuek A. 3. Kuismala J. 4. Laiho V. 25. Tsopgni N.
Substitutes
12. Aimola J. (G) 26. Baseme A. 15. Juntunen M. 36. Kantelinen S. 38. Karkkainen E. 13. Kauppinen E. 23. Mattila N. 7. Puolitaival E. 5. Tahkola R.	11. Hayhanen O. 24. Hernesniemi S. 5. Karttunen A. 9. Karttunen V. 99. Kerminen P. 23. Kivinen E. 21. Sundberg K. 8. Torniainen O. 1. Volotinen S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, Partanen T. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Ali Abubakar T. ⚽,
33', Rasanen E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kimari O. ↓, Kerminen P. ↑,
50', 2 - 1, Balde O. ⚽,
51', Kivijarvi N. 🟨,
56', 2 - 2, (Own goal),
84', Tanninen E. ↓, Baseme A. ↑,
86', Ali Abubakar T. 🟨,
86', Ahmad Al Sheikh M. ↓, Puolitaival E. ↑,
90', Janhunen V. ↓, Karttunen V. ↑,

Preview

KuPS Akatemia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mikkelin Palloilijat is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

KuPS Akatemia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mikkelin Palloilijat is the obvious favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, KuPS Akatemia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:15. (average 0.5:3.8).

Including home matches between the teams, KuPS Akatemia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 1:5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KuPS Akatemia
Finnish Ykkonen
28.09.25	KuPS Akatemia - Tampere United	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	JJK Jyväskylä - KuPS Akatemia	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	OLS - KuPS Akatemia	4:2 ✺
30.08.25	KuPS Akatemia - Espoon Palloseura	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	RoPS - KuPS Akatemia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWLTW
- Mikkelin Palloilijat
Finnish Ykkonen
26.09.25	Mikkelin Palloilijat - JJK Jyväskylä	5:1 ✺
19.09.25	KPV Kokkola - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Tampere United	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	Mikkelin Palloilijat - JJK Jyväskylä	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Tampere United - Mikkelin Palloilijat	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
01.08.25	KuPS Akatemia - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:6
Finnish Cup
28.05.25	KuPS Akatemia - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:4
Finnish Ykkonen
17.05.25	Mikkelin Palloilijat - KuPS Akatemia	3:0
Club Friendly
28.03.24	Mikkelin Palloilijat - KuPS Akatemia	2:0

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