Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 15

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Urozhay (Pavlovskaya)


	Kuban-Kholding		Rubin Yalta

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.05	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.49)	5.05 ↑ (4.1)	8.8 ↑ (5.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kuban-Kholding
71.6%

Draw
18%

Rubin Yalta
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

22.2%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

23.8%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kuban-Kholding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kuban-Kholding's performance.

Rubin Yalta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rubin Yalta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuban-Kholding than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kuban-Kholding that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Yalta than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rubin Yalta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Stenyakin A. (G) 13. Babayan R. 44. Dashaev A. 11. Dmitriev M. 10. Fadeev N. 4. Garaev R. 8. Kotov D. 9. Maloletov A. 23. Mikhailov D. 14. Sapozhnikov I. 27. Zakharov I.	30. Zamerets E. (G) 35. Balan Y. 18. Demchenko S. 52. Isaev M. 20. Ivanov A. 88. Maksimov I. 15. Naniev A. 10. Papazyan S. 19. Protsenko R. 33. Purak V. 3. Sanakoev G.
Substitutes
5. Banshchikov P. 16. Kopylov S. (G) 7. Kramarenko S. 26. Marinchenko D. 21. Orazaev I. 17. Solovjev D. 2. Tagiev N. 24. Terekhov A. 12. Veselovskiy R.	48. Marchenko A. 50. Naumenko S. (G) 25. Romashchuk I. 23. Shulga G. 66. Slobodchikov M. 22. Tarasenko M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Demchenko S. 🟨,
35', Protsenko R. ↓, Romashchuk I. ↑,
44', Papazyan S. 🟨,
45', Mikhailov D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Balan Y. 🟨,
64', Purak V. 🟨,
65', Maloletov A. ↓, Solovjev D. ↑,
67', Dashaev A. 🟨,
80', Sapozhnikov I. ↓, Veselovskiy R. ↑,
87', Dmitriev M. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 and 6).

Recent performances by Kuban-Kholding have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rubin Yalta is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Kuban-Kholding is the obvious favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kuban-Kholding won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Kuban-Kholding won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kuban-Kholding
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
14.06.25	Druzhba Maykop - Kuban-Kholding	3:1 ✺
07.06.25	Kuban-Kholding - Nart Cherkessk	1:0 ✺
31.05.25	Kuban-Kholding - Angust Nazran	2:2 ✺
24.05.25	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Kuban-Kholding	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Kuban-Kholding - Legion Makhachkala	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWTLW
- Rubin Yalta
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
14.06.25	Rubin Yalta - Astrakhan	0:1 ✺
07.06.25	Legion Makhachkala - Rubin Yalta	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Rubin Yalta - Spartak Nalchik	3:0 ✺
24.05.25	Sochi 2 - Rubin Yalta	0:1 ✺
17.05.25	Rubin Yalta - FC Sevastopol	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
05.04.25	Rubin Yalta - Kuban-Kholding	0:2
31.08.24	Rubin Yalta - Kuban-Kholding	4:0
04.05.24	Kuban-Kholding - Rubin Yalta	0:2
03.09.23	Rubin Yalta - Kuban-Kholding	1:0
23.07.23	Kuban-Kholding - Rubin Yalta	0:1

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