Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Promotion Group - Round 5

Date: 20 October 2025, Monday

Location: Stadion Spartak (Khasavyurt)


	Pobeda Khasavyurt		Kuban-Kholding

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.13	2.68
	2.5	2.6	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.6)	2.87 ↑ (2.7)	2.79 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pobeda Khasavyurt
36.6%

Draw
31.3%

Kuban-Kholding
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

33.7%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

34.1%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pobeda Khasavyurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Kuban-Kholding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pobeda Khasavyurt than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuban-Kholding than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Pobeda Khasavyurt - Kuban Kholding Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shikhanmatov A. (G) 15. Abdulaev A. 29. Avagumyan A. 25. Azarenkov M. 22. Ismailov A. 8. Magomedov M. 28. Saaduev S. 17. Shihbabaev M. 37. Temukov A. 4. Yamalavov I. 14. Zhiga A.	15. Stenyakin A. (G) 13. Babayan R. 44. Dashaev A. 11. Dmitriev M. 10. Fadeev N. 19. Grechkin A. 20. Kartashov D. 8. Kotov D. 23. Mikhailov D. 22. Smirnov M. 27. Zakharov I.
Substitutes
33. Khalimbekov R. 19. Kurbanov S. 11. Labazanov L. 26. Omarov A. 7. Salimov R. 16. Sultanaliev A. (G) 9. Vagabov I.	16. Kopylov S. (G) 14. Sapozhnikov I. 24. Sergienko I. 17. Solovjev D. 2. Tagiev N. 30. Vitulin D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Shihbabaev M. (Own goal),
28', Magomedov M. 🟨,
36', Ismailov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', Smirnov M. ↓, Sergienko I. ↑,
58', Saaduev S. 🟨,
63', Avagumyan A. ↓, Vagabov I. ↑,
63', Magomedov M. ↓, Salimov R. ↑,
66', Mikhailov D. ↓, Sapozhnikov I. ↑,
66', Dmitriev M. ↓, Solovjev D. ↑,
69', 0 - 2, Sergienko I. ⚽,
76', Salimov R. 🟨,
80', Fadeev N. ↓, Vitulin D. ↑,
80', Kotov D. ↓, Tagiev N. ↑,
83', Saaduev S. ↓, Labazanov L. ↑,
87', Azarenkov M. ↓, Omarov A. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 3, Sapozhnikov I. (Pen),

Preview

Pobeda is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kuban-Kholding has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pobeda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Pobeda has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pobeda won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Pobeda won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pobeda Khasavyurt
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
11.10.25	Dynamo Stavropol - Pobeda Khasavyurt	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Rostov 2	4:2 ✺
27.09.25	Nart Cherkessk - Pobeda Khasavyurt	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	FC Sevastopol - Pobeda Khasavyurt	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	FC Sevastopol - Pobeda Khasavyurt	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLLT
- Kuban-Kholding
Russian Cup
16.10.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Kuban-Kholding	1:2 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
11.10.25	Kuban-Kholding - FC Sevastopol	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Kuban-Kholding - Nart Cherkessk	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Dynamo Stavropol - Kuban-Kholding	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
24.09.25	Kuban-Kholding - Volga Ulyanovsk	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.2 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
23.08.25	Kuban-Kholding - Pobeda Khasavyurt	2:0
24.05.25	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Kuban-Kholding	1:0
26.10.24	Kuban-Kholding - Pobeda Khasavyurt	1:1
25.06.24	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Kuban-Kholding	2:0

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