Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 14

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Avangard Stadium (Yalta)


	Rubin Yalta		Astrakhan

	1	X	2
	2.03	3.34	3.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.23)	3.34 ↑ (3.3)	3.26 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rubin Yalta
44.8%

Draw
27.2%

Astrakhan
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

27.6%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

26.6%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rubin Yalta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Astrakhan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubin Yalta than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astrakhan than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Zamerets E. (G) 35. Balan Y. 18. Demchenko S. 52. Isaev M. 20. Ivanov A. 88. Maksimov I. 15. Naniev A. 10. Papazyan S. 33. Purak V. 25. Romashchuk I. 3. Sanakoev G.	71. Krasilnikov A. (G) 11. Bolonin A. 52. Malomusov R. 27. Malysh M. 6. Musaev B. 19. Pacho 89. Shatalov D. 69. Smirnov D. 18. Vladimirov D. 8. Zlobin N. 99. Zolotorenko D.
Substitutes
48. Marchenko A. 50. Naumenko S. (G) 19. Protsenko R. 23. Shulga G. 66. Slobodchikov M.	3. Abzalilov A. 4. Abzalilov S. 17. Belov D. 26. Grishin V. (G) 77. Karpov A. 13. Levchenkov I. 41. Maslennikov I. 10. Massurenko D. 45. Sedov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Smirnov D. ↓, Levchenkov I. ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Shatalov D. ⚽,
69', Romashchuk I. ↓, Protsenko R. ↑,
83', Zlobin N. ↓, Abzalilov A. ↑,
83', Shatalov D. ↓, Maslennikov I. ↑,
85', Abzalilov A. 🟨,
90+2', Isaev M. 🟨,
90+3', Balan Y. ↓, Slobodchikov M. ↑,
90+3', Bolonin A. 🟨,
90+4', Pacho ↓, Belov D. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 9).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rubin Yalta won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Rubin Yalta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rubin Yalta
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
07.06.25	Legion Makhachkala - Rubin Yalta	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Rubin Yalta - Spartak Nalchik	3:0 ✺
24.05.25	Sochi 2 - Rubin Yalta	0:1 ✺
17.05.25	Rubin Yalta - FC Sevastopol	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Druzhba Maykop - Rubin Yalta	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TWWWL
- SC Astrakhan
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
07.06.25	Angust Nazran - Astrakhan	1:2 ✺
31.05.25	Astrakhan - Legion Makhachkala	2:1 ✺
24.05.25	Spartak Nalchik - Astrakhan	0:2 ✺
17.05.25	Astrakhan - Sochi 2	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	FC Sevastopol - Astrakhan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
29.03.25	Astrakhan - Rubin Yalta	0:1
24.08.24	Astrakhan - Rubin Yalta	0:1
25.11.23	Rubin Yalta - Astrakhan	1:1

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