Match Info

FNL - Round 9

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Shinnik (Yaroslavl)

Referee: Opeykina V. (Rus)


	Shinnik		Volga Ulyanovsk

	1	X	2
	3.02	2.94	2.73
	2.91	2.86	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.35)	2.9 ↓ (3.21)	2.7 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shinnik
32%

Draw
32.7%

Volga Ulyanovsk
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

29.6%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

29.1%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shinnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shinnik's form might have worsened.

Volga Ulyanovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Volga Ulyanovsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shinnik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Volga Ulyanovsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Shinnik - Volga Ulyanovsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Shinnik will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Volga Ulyanovsk (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Volga Ulyanovsk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Mitrov T. (G) 62. Karpov V. 4. Bozov N. 44. Kornyushin D. 5. Malyarov K. 64. Lanin O. 8. Kul R. 61. Malakhov A. 50. Golubev A. 20. Martovoy D. 15. Samoilov D. (C)	1. Kenyaykin A. (G) 3. Krasilnichenko O. 4. Ibragimov K. 15. Kokoev D. 20. Kovalev K. 7. Murza A. 8. Rakhmanov D. (C) 28. Novikov D. 27. Umnikov M. 29. Shagiakhmetov R. 19. Rudenko V.
Substitutes
27. Chernyi A. 77. Gongapshev A. 1. Ismagilov A. (G) 2. Kosogorov A. 53. Kotin N. 88. Mironov D. 23. Nafikov V. 11. Porokhov I. 6. Rukas A. 92. Shchelkunov T. 10. Shipunov T. 95. Vambolt D. (G)	77. Gutsa A. 9. Kamenshchikov D. 6. Kozlov I. 82. Larionov K. 87. Pshennikov E. 22. Rakhmanov D. 86. Shaykhutdinov V. (G) 10. Uridia G. 37. Voronin E. 14. Yakovlev V.
Coaches
Buloychik A.	Belov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Golubev A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Malakhov A. ↓, Kosogorov A. ↑,
46', Martovoy D. ↓, Gongapshev A. ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Golubev A. ⚽,
59', Rudenko V. ↓, Yakovlev V. ↑,
70', Shagiakhmetov R. ↓, Kamenshchikov D. ↑,
70', Uridia G. ↓, Voronin E. ↑,
74', Kul R. ↓, Nafikov V. ↑,
77', Rakhmanov D. ↓, Gutsa A. ↑,
81', Samoilov D. ↓, Mironov D. ↑,
88', Kosogorov A. 🟨,
90+1', Golubev A. ↓, Shchelkunov T. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 0, Gongapshev A. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 13).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Volga Ulyanovsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Shinnik will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shinnik won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Shinnik won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russian FNL
03.09.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Shinnik	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Shinnik - Rodina Moscow	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Shinnik	1:2 ✺
10.08.25	Shinnik - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 TWTWL
- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian FNL
03.09.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Arsenal Tula	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Ural - Volga Ulyanovsk	4:0 ✺
17.08.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - SKA Khabarovsk	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Chelyabinsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
08.04.23	Shinnik - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:2
18.09.22	Volga Ulyanovsk - Shinnik	1:1

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