Match Info

Date: 13 August 2020, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Kultsu		Lahden Reipas

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.75	2.5
	2.5	3.5	2.25
	2.4	3.6	2.4
	2.45	3.55	2.38
	2.5	3.81	2.53
	2.45	3.6	2.4
	2.42	3.7	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (3.99)	3.64 ↓ (3.96)	2.42 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kultsu
37.2%

Draw
25.1%

Lahden Reipas
37.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.3%

22.4%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

17.4%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kultsu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kultsu's performance.

Lahden Reipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lahden Reipas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kultsu than the current prediction. (-19.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kultsu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lahden Reipas than the current prediction. (+27.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lahden Reipas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	12.8%	33.3%

Kultsu - Lahden Reipas Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Kultsu will win (votes: 21 - 53.8%). Reipas will win (votes: 13 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kultsu: 38.2% – 69.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Kultsu is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Reipas is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Reipas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kultsu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Kultsu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kultsu FC
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
07.08.20	PEPO Lappeenranta - Kultsu	1:0 ✺
18.07.20	Viikingit - Kultsu	2:0 ✺
11.07.20	Kultsu - Lahden Reipas	0:1 ✺
04.07.20	Kiffen 08 - Kultsu	1:0 ✺
28.06.20	Kultsu - Keski-Uusimaa	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW
- Lahden Reipas
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
01.08.20	Lahden Reipas - PEPO Lappeenranta	4:1 ✺
11.07.20	Kultsu - Lahden Reipas	0:1 ✺
04.07.20	Keski-Uusimaa - Lahden Reipas	2:1 ✺
27.06.20	Lahden Reipas - Espoon Palloseura	0:1 ✺
17.06.20	JäPS - Lahden Reipas	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
11.07.20	Kultsu - Lahden Reipas	0:1

Kultsu - Lahden Reipas