Match Info

Yi League - Round 10

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Yunnan Coerver Football Training Base Stadium (Kunming)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports


	Kunming City		Guangdong Mingtu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3	3.4
	2.07	3.15	3.35
	2.08	3.19	3.28
	2.07	3.24	3.39
	1.98	3.14	3.63
	2.07	3.15	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.8)	3.15 ↑ (3.1)	3.4 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kunming City
44.3%

Draw
28.9%

Guangdong Mingtu
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

28.9%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

28.2%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kunming City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kunming City's form might have worsened.

Guangdong Mingtu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangdong Mingtu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kunming City than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kunming City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong Mingtu than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangdong Mingtu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kunming City - Guangdong Mingtu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Chen Anqi (G) 13. Yao Zhiyu 6. Ablimit Subi (C) 26. Bi Haoyang 3. Wang S. 10. Cao Enze 24. Song X. 8. Hu H. 42. Sun Z. 27. Yang H. 30. Zhang J.	39. Pang Jiajun (G) 49. Li T. 6. Zhang Junzhe (C) 5. Zheng Zhiming 15. Chen Rijin 21. Huang Guangliang 56. Abdusemet E. 52. Zhong W. 57. Wu Z. 50. Zhao C. 43. Zhu X.
Substitutes
11. Adiljan Qeyser 47. Gong Z. 1. Hao Kesen (G) 2. Ou L. 5. Tang Daozheng 16. Tang-Kang B. 9. Tuyghun J. 45. Zhang F.	45. Chen L. 41. Fang K. 42. He J. 61. Huang Yikai 59. Li J. (G) 7. Liu Xin 48. Liu Z. 53. Pan B. 4. Peng Jiahao 8. Wen Y. 51. Yao H. 44. Yin B.
Coaches
Weiss M.	Takahata T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Bi Haoyang 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Abdusemet E. ↓, Chen L. ↑,
46', Chen Rijin ↓, Yin B. ↑,
65', Zhao C. ↓, He J. ↑,
65', Wu Z. ↓, Yao H. ↑,
67', Sun Z. ↓, Gong Z. ↑,
67', Song X. ↓, Adiljan Qeyser ↑,
76', Zhang J. ↓, Tuyghun J. ↑,
81', Zhu X. ↓, Wen Y. ↑,
86', Li T. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Kunming City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kunming City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kunming City FC
Chinese Yi League
10.05.25	Kunming City - Wuhan Three Towns B	1:2 ✺
06.05.25	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Kunming City	1:2 ✺
02.05.25	Kunming City - Shenzhen	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Chengdu Rongcheng B - Kunming City	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Guangxi Lanhang - Kunming City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LWLLW
- Guangdong Mingtu
Chinese Yi League
13.05.25	Guangdong Mingtu - Ganzhou Ruishi	2:0 ✺
07.05.25	Wenzhou Professional - Guangdong Mingtu	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Guangdong Mingtu - Guangxi Hengchen	0:2 ✺
26.04.25	Wuhan Three Towns B - Guangdong Mingtu	0:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
18.04.25	Guangdong Mingtu - Shenzhen Juniors	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WTLTL

Kunming City - Guangdong Mingtu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide