Match Info

Yi League - Round 7

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Huadu Stadium (Guangzhou)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports


	Guangdong Mingtu		Guangxi Hengchen

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.2	3.6	1.65
	3.45	3.15	2.02
	4.04	3.72	2.04
	4.22	3.58	1.75	Watch
	4.2	3.7	1.65
	3.58	3.48	1.94	Watch
	3.65	3.25	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↓ (4.53)	3.5 ↓ (3.61)	1.85 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 0.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangdong Mingtu
23.7%

Draw
26.4%

Guangxi Hengchen
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

25.2%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

24.8%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangdong Mingtu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Guangxi Hengchen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong Mingtu than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangxi Hengchen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guangdong Mingtu - Guangxi Hengchen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
59. Li J. (G) 57. Wu Z. 49. Li T. 6. Zhang Junzhe 5. Zheng Zhiming 56. Abdusemet E. 21. Huang Guangliang 43. Zhu X. 44. Yin B. 52. Zhong W. 42. He J.	22. Shen Bokai (G) 32. Li S. 4. Fang Zhengyang 27. Zhang Zijian 3. Yuan X. 28. Wang Haozhi 18. Wei Chaolun 7. Gao Yixuan 42. Ji Tianle 17. Zhang Huajun 11. Fei Ernanduo
Substitutes
45. Chen L. 15. Chen Rijin 41. Fang K. 61. Huang Yikai 7. Liu Xin 48. Liu Z. 58. Li Z. 39. Pang Jiajun (G) 4. Peng Jiahao 8. Wen Y. 51. Yao H. 50. Zhao C.	19. Cen Liyi 47. Chen D. 45. Dai Jiatong (G) 33. Feng Yifan 58. Huang Y. 25. Ren K. 8. Wang H. 15. Wang Tianqing 29. Yao Zixuan
Coaches
Takahata T.	Liu Junwei

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Fei Ernanduo ⚽, Li S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Yin B. ↓, Wen Y. ↑,
46', He J. ↓, Zhao C. ↑,
56', Zhang Zijian 🟨,
59', Fei Ernanduo ↓, Huang Y. ↑,
59', Zhang Huajun ↓, Yao Zixuan ↑,
60', Zheng Zhiming 🟨,
61', 0 - 2, Wang Haozhi (Pen),
72', Abdusemet E. ↓, Liu Xin ↑,
72', Zhang Junzhe ↓, Peng Jiahao ↑,
72', Ji Tianle ↓, Chen D. ↑,
73', Huang Y. 🟨,
76', Wen Y. 🟨,
79', Gao Yixuan ↓, Ren K. ↑,
79', Wei Chaolun ↓, Feng Yifan ↑,
87', Huang Guangliang ↓, Chen L. ↑,
87', Wu Z. ↓, Fang K. ↑,
90+4', Wang Haozhi ↓, Wang H. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).

Guangdong Mingtu has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Guangxi Hengchen is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Guangdong Mingtu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Guangxi Hengchen is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangdong Mingtu
Chinese Yi League
26.04.25	Wuhan Three Towns B - Guangdong Mingtu	0:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
18.04.25	Guangdong Mingtu - Shenzhen Juniors	2:3 penalties ✺
Chinese Yi League
12.04.25	Quanzhou Yassin - Guangdong Mingtu	0:0 ✺
08.04.25	Guangdong Mingtu - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha	1:3 ✺
23.03.25	Guangdong Mingtu - Shenzhen 2028	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLTLL
- Guangxi Hengchen
Chinese Yi League
27.04.25	Guangxi Hengchen - Guangxi Lanhang	2:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.04.25	Guangxi Hengchen - Ningbo Professional	2:1 ✺
Chinese Yi League
13.04.25	Shenzhen - Guangxi Hengchen	0:0 ✺
08.04.25	Guangxi Hengchen - Chengdu Rongcheng B	1:0 ✺
04.04.25	Quanzhou Yassin - Guangxi Hengchen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWTWW

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