Match Info

Yi League - Round 22

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Yunnan Coerver Football Training Base Stadium (Kunming)


	Kunming City		Guangxi Hengchen

	1	X	2
				Watch
	8.5	4.6	1.3
	8.4	4.9	1.26
	8.37	4.7	1.33
	7.2	4.22	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.12 ↑ (6.71)	4.61 ↑ (3.84)	1.33 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kunming City
11.3%

Draw
19.9%

Guangxi Hengchen
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.6%

23.7%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1%

22.8%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kunming City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Guangxi Hengchen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangxi Hengchen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kunming City than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Kunming City - Guangxi Hengchen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Kunming City (5.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kunming City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hao Kesen (G) 5. Tang Daozheng 6. Ablimit Subi (C) 2. Ou L. 30. Zhang J. 26. Bi Haoyang 8. Hu H. 13. Yao Zhiyu 42. Sun Z. 17. Qi Long 27. Yang H.	22. Shen Bokai (G) 25. Ren K. 27. Zhang Zijian 5. Luan H. 3. Yuan X. (C) 28. Wang Haozhi 18. Wei Chaolun 16. Ning W. 56. Ji X. 17. Zhang Huajun 11. Fei Ernanduo
Substitutes
10. Cao Enze 23. Chen Anqi (G) 47. Gong Z. 7. Li G. 24. Song X. 14. Tian Li 21. Wang Jiaqi 4. Xue Yuxiang 25. Yinrong M. (G) 45. Zhang F. 56. Zhang Zhijie	19. Cen Liyi 47. Chen D. 52. Chen G. 45. Dai Jiatong (G) 23. Guo Z. 58. Huang Y. 42. Ji Tianle 21. Ren Wei 8. Wang H. 29. Yao Zixuan 55. Zhang D. (G)
Coaches
Weiss M.	Liu Junwei

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Zhang Huajun ⚽, Zhang Zijian (A),
36', Zhang J. 🟨,
38', 0 - 2, Fei Ernanduo (Pen),
39', Zhang Zijian 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Yao Zhiyu ↓, Li G. ↑,
58', Ji X. ↓, Chen D. ↑,
58', Zhang Huajun ↓, Yao Zixuan ↑,
70', Hu H. ↓, Tian Li ↑,
70', Qi Long ↓, Cao Enze ↑,
71', Wang Haozhi ↓, Wang H. ↑,
71', Ning W. ↓, Chen G. ↑,
72', Ren K. 🟨,
79', Fei Ernanduo ↓, Ren Wei ↑,
82', Yang H. ↓, Wang Jiaqi ↑,
82', Ablimit Subi ↓, Gong Z. ↑,
88', 🟨,
89', 0 - 3, Wei Chaolun ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )).

Kunming City is Yi League (Relegation Group )

Guangxi Hengchen is Qualified for Yi League (Promotion Group )

Recent form of Kunming City has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Guangxi Hengchen is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Guangxi Hengchen is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kunming City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:11. (average 0.3:3.7).

Including home match between the teams, Kunming City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kunming City FC
Chinese Yi League
27.07.25	Guangdong Mingtu - Kunming City	1:1 ✺
19.07.25	Wuhan Three Towns B - Kunming City	1:0 ✺
13.07.25	Kunming City - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha	1:1 ✺
05.07.25	Shenzhen - Kunming City	2:0 ✺
01.07.25	Kunming City - Chengdu Rongcheng B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLTLL
- Guangxi Hengchen
Chinese Yi League
27.07.25	Guangxi Hengchen - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha	1:0 ✺
19.07.25	Wenzhou Professional - Guangxi Hengchen	0:1 ✺
12.07.25	Guangxi Hengchen - Ganzhou Ruishi	2:0 ✺
05.07.25	Guangxi Hengchen - Guangdong Mingtu	1:0 ✺
01.07.25	Guangxi Lanhang - Guangxi Hengchen	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
25.05.25	Guangxi Hengchen - Kunming City	7:0
06.07.24	Kunming City - Guangxi Hengchen	0:1
28.04.24	Guangxi Hengchen - Kunming City	3:1

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