Match Info

Yi League - Round 21

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Huadu Stadium (Guangzhou)


	Guangdong Mingtu		Kunming City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.1	4.2
	1.98	3.1	3.55	Watch
	2.08	3.23	3.4
	1.75	3.25	4.2
	2.01	3.19	3.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.55)	3.17 ↑ (2.88)	3.81 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangdong Mingtu
47.4%

Draw
28.7%

Kunming City
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

31.3%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

31.2%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangdong Mingtu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guangdong Mingtu's performance.

Kunming City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kunming City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong Mingtu than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guangdong Mingtu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kunming City than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kunming City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guangdong Mingtu - Kunming City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guangdong Mingtu (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Guangdong Mingtu (3.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Guangdong Mingtu (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
59. Li J. (G) 51. Yao H. 49. Li T. 5. Zheng Zhiming 52. Zhong W. 68. Tang Wenxuan 55. Pan N. 66. Gu Zhiwei 43. Zhu X. 20. Liu Ziheng 42. He J.	23. Chen Anqi (G) 13. Yao Zhiyu 5. Tang Daozheng 26. Bi Haoyang 3. Wang S. 24. Song X. 6. Ablimit Subi 8. Hu H. 42. Sun Z. 30. Zhang J. 27. Yang H.
Substitutes
56. Abdusemet E. 45. Chen L. 15. Chen Rijin 41. Fang K. 9. Li Ming 39. Pang Jiajun (G) 4. Peng Jiahao 67. Tang Tianyi 8. Wen Y. 57. Wu Z. 47. Xu Q. 6. Zhang Junzhe	10. Cao Enze 47. Gong Z. 1. Hao Kesen (G) 17. Qi Long 14. Tian Li 4. Xue Yuxiang
Coaches
Li X.	Weiss M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+4', 1 - 0, He J. ⚽, Liu Ziheng (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gu Zhiwei ↓, Tang Tianyi ↑,
46', Zheng Zhiming ↓, Zhang Junzhe ↑,
46', Sun Z. ↓, Gong Z. ↑,
46', Tang Daozheng ↓, Qi Long ↑,
46', Yao Zhiyu ↓, Tian Li ↑,
57', Wang S. 🟨,
67', Zhu X. ↓, Wen Y. ↑,
67', Liu Ziheng ↓, Wu Z. ↑,
67', He J. ↓, Li Ming ↑,
73', Li T. 🟨,
75', 1 - 1, Ablimit Subi (Pen),
84', Tang Wenxuan ↓, Abdusemet E. ↑,
90+2', Song X. ↓, Cao Enze ↑,
90+8', Hu H. ↓, Xue Yuxiang ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ))

Guangdong Mingtu is Yi League (Relegation Group )

Kunming City is Yi League (Relegation Group )

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Guangdong Mingtu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Guangdong Mingtu might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guangdong Mingtu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangdong Mingtu
Chinese Yi League
19.07.25	Ganzhou Ruishi - Guangdong Mingtu	2:2 ✺
12.07.25	Guangdong Mingtu - Wenzhou Professional	1:2 ✺
05.07.25	Guangxi Hengchen - Guangdong Mingtu	1:0 ✺
01.07.25	Guangdong Mingtu - Wuhan Three Towns B	2:3 ✺
27.06.25	Guangdong Mingtu - Quanzhou Yassin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLLW
- Kunming City FC
Chinese Yi League
19.07.25	Wuhan Three Towns B - Kunming City	1:0 ✺
13.07.25	Kunming City - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha	1:1 ✺
05.07.25	Shenzhen - Kunming City	2:0 ✺
01.07.25	Kunming City - Chengdu Rongcheng B	0:1 ✺
27.06.25	Kunming City - Guangxi Lanhang	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
17.05.25	Kunming City - Guangdong Mingtu	0:0

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