Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Relegation Group - Round 28

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Mission Hills Football Base Stadium (Haikou)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports


	Kunming City		Lanzhou Longyuan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.57	3.75	4.6
	1.6	3.75	4.9	Watch
	1.64	3.82	5
	1.62	3.82	4.76
	1.5	3.8	5
	1.61	3.6	5.02
	1.6	3.75	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (2.18)	3.76 ↑ (3.34)	4.88 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kunming City
57.2%

Draw
24.2%

Lanzhou Longyuan
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

27.2%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

28%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kunming City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kunming City's performance.

Lanzhou Longyuan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lanzhou Longyuan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kunming City than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kunming City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanzhou Longyuan than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lanzhou Longyuan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kunming City - Lanzhou Longyuan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Wang Xiaofeng (G) 56. Yao Zhiyu 20. Peng Jiahao 67. Wang Y. 24. He Xinjie 64. You Wenjie 33. He Tongshuai 49. Xu Jiashi 8. Jiang Weilang 10. Zhang Zili 66. Liu Y.	50. Fu Zhenhao (G) 11. Tai Jianfeng 18. Zeng Y. 4. Xiao Yufeng 2. Chen Zefeng 19. Chen Z. 23. Guo Ze 39. Chen Kerui 33. Gao Yixuan 17. Wang Zeyang 10. Pan Yuchen
Substitutes
17. Adiljan Qeyser 47. An Bang 55. Chen Xi (G) 65. Gao Yunan 44. Li Ruifeng 62. Li Xingxian 60. Tang Wenxuan 50. Tan Jiaye 57. Wei Guoren	9. Bai T. 45. Chen Yu 28. Esqer Iskender 15. Liu Y. 42. Mo H. 16. Mu Qianyu (G) 3. Yang Pengju 29. Zhang Z.
Coaches
Maeda K.	Qu W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Xu Jiashi ⚽,
16', Xu Jiashi 🟨,
17', Chen Z. ↓, Liu Y. ↑,
31', 1 - 1, Gao Yixuan ⚽, Pan Yuchen (A),
44', Liu Y. ↓, Tan Jiaye ↑,
44', Wang Y. ↓, Wei Guoren ↑,
45+3', You Wenjie 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Xu Jiashi ↓, An Bang ↑,
46', Guo Ze ↓, Esqer Iskender ↑,
48', 1 - 2, Tai Jianfeng ⚽, Gao Yixuan (A),
51', Jiang Weilang 🟨,
59', Liu Y. 🟨,
64', 2 - 2, Tang Wenxuan ⚽, You Wenjie (A),
68', Chen Zefeng 🟨,
68', Mu Qianyu 🟨,
76', Chen Zefeng ↓, Chen Yu ↑,
77', 3 - 2, Tang Wenxuan ⚽, An Bang (A),
88', Chen Kerui ↓, Zhang Z. ↑,
90+5', Zhang Zili ↓, Li Ruifeng ↑,
90+6', Wang Xiaofeng 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kunming City FC
Chinese Yi League
12.10.24	Beijing Institute of Technology - Kunming City	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Kunming City - Hubei Istar	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Taian Tiankuang - Kunming City	3:1 ✺
22.09.24	Kunming City - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	2:1 ✺
16.09.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Kunming City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLWL
- Lanzhou Longyuan
Chinese Yi League
12.10.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Ganzhou Ruishi	3:1 ✺
06.10.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Quanzhou Yassin	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Wenzhou Professional - Lanzhou Longyuan	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Guangxi Lanhang - Lanzhou Longyuan	2:2 ✺
16.09.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Kunming City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
16.09.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Kunming City	3:1

Kunming City - Lanzhou Longyuan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide