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Current Win Probability
Wenzhou Professional 36.7%
Draw 32.4%
Lanzhou Longyuan 30.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.4%
32%
36.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.2%
31.8%
36.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wenzhou Professional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wenzhou Professional's performance.
Lanzhou Longyuan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lanzhou Longyuan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wenzhou Professional than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wenzhou Professional that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanzhou Longyuan than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lanzhou Longyuan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Wenzhou Professional - Lanzhou Longyuan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Chen Zhao (G) 8. Han Tianlin 55. Gao Le 16. Wu Yuchen 19. Yao Xilong 36. Hua Mingcan 6. Zhao Wenzhe 17. Wei Zhenghong 10. Ruan Sai (C) 11. Lu Shihao 9. Li Jiaheng
13. Mu Qianyu (C) 2. Luo H. 17. Erkin Ababekri 4. Xiao Yufeng 42. Hu Yubo 14. Zhang Zichao 10. Sun Xinkai 39. Chen Kerui 18. Memetimin Mewlan 7. Lu J. 40. Lu Zhiyuan
Substitutes
22. Abdugheni I. 57. He J. 58. Liu Y. 18. Lu Jiabin 7. Lu Y. 27. Ou Xueqian 39. Ouyang Chengzhuo 53. Sun Weikai 25. Wang X. 21. Wang Y. 13. Zhang H. (G) 43. Zhang Zhijie
8. Abdukerim O. 22. Jiang W. 16. Wang S. 33. Wei Lai 47. Yang Shengming 1. Zhang Jihao (G) 25. Zhang Yue 29. Zhao Xiaolong
Coaches
Zhao Peng
Zhang Xiaorui
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Han Tianlin ↓, Ou Xueqian ↑,
46', Lu Shihao ↓, Lu Y. ↑,
72', Memetimin Mewlan ↓, Wei Lai ↑,
73', Sun Xinkai ↓, Zhang Yue ↑,
75', Wu Yuchen ↓, Sun Weikai ↑,
75', Wei Zhenghong ↓, Wang Y. ↑,
75', Hu Yubo ↓, Yang Shengming ↑,
76', Hua Mingcan 🟨,
83', Li Jiaheng ↓, He J. ↑,
87', Xiao Yufeng ↓, Wang S. ↑,
87', Chen Kerui ↓, Abdukerim O. ↑,
90+3', Wang Y. 🟨,
Preview
Recent results have been tough for Wenzhou (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Lanzhou Longyuan has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Wenzhou is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Wenzhou has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:4 (averaging 0.6:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Wenzhou against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals (averaging 1:0 per game).
China
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Chen Zhao (G) 
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