Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Round 18

Date: 27 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Mission Hills Football Base Stadium (Haikou)


	Kunming City		Shanghai Port B

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.3	1.62
				Watch
	4.88	3.63	1.65	Watch
	4.5	3.2	1.73
	5.3	3.74	1.56
	5.2	3.5	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.94 ↑ (4.5)	3.47 ↑ (3.33)	1.63 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kunming City
18.4%

Draw
26.1%

Shanghai Port B
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

27.2%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

26.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kunming City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Shanghai Port B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kunming City than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shanghai Port B than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Kunming City - Shanghai Port B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Wang Yixiong (G) 56. Yao Zhiyu 64. You Wenjie 20. Peng Jiahao 57. Wei Guoren 44. Li Ruifeng 33. He Tongshuai 10. Zhang Zili 67. Wang Y. 65. Gao Yunan 50. Tan Jiaye	56. Ren Zihao (G) 43. Lu Kun 60. Tang Yuxuan 50. Wang Yulong 64. Wang Yiwei 54. Fan Y. 52. Meng Jingchao 8. Peng H. 11. Li Haoran 46. Liu B. 10. Liao Chongjiu
Substitutes
17. Adiljan Qeyser 55. Chen Xi (G) 63. Han Kunda 24. He Xinjie 66. Liu Y. 62. Li Xingxian 46. Qian Ruofan	48. Fang Yuan 45. Jiang Erhan 47. Lin Jinrong 42. Song Chunxiao 7. Wang H. 55. Wang Song 53. Wu Jin 41. Xi Anjie (G) 59. Yang Zihan 51. Zhang Huiyu 6. Zhao S.
Coaches
Maeda K.	Chen Xufeng

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Tang Yuxuan (Own goal),
36', Li Haoran ↓, Jiang Erhan ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Wang Yiwei ↓, Zhang Huiyu ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Liao Chongjiu ⚽, Fan Y. (A),
58', Meng Jingchao ↓, Lin Jinrong ↑,
59', Wei Guoren ↓, Li Xingxian ↑,
59', Li Ruifeng ↓, He Xinjie ↑,
69', Fan Y. ↓, Yang Zihan ↑,
69', Peng H. ↓, Zhao S. ↑,
78', Peng Jiahao ↓, Adiljan Qeyser ↑,
85', Lin Jinrong 🟨,
90+2', Zhang Zili ↓, Qian Ruofan ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )).

Haikou Mingcheng is Yi League (Relegation Group )

Shanghai Port B is Qualified for Yi League (Promotion Group )

Haikou Mingcheng is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Shanghai Port B is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Shanghai Port B have a series of home games.

In this match Shanghai Port B is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Haikou Mingcheng won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kunming City FC
Chinese Yi League
21.07.24	Kunming City - Shenzhen Juniors	2:2 ✺
13.07.24	Hunan Billows - Kunming City	2:2 ✺
06.07.24	Kunming City - Guangxi Hengchen	0:1 ✺
30.06.24	Guangdong GZ-Power - Kunming City	3:1 ✺
23.06.24	Kunming City - Ganzhou Ruishi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTLLL
- Shanghai Port B
Chinese Yi League
20.07.24	Shanghai Port B - Guangxi Hengchen	2:0 ✺
14.07.24	Shanghai Port B - Quanzhou Yassin	3:2 ✺
07.07.24	Shanghai Port B - Guangdong GZ-Power	0:1 ✺
30.06.24	Ganzhou Ruishi - Shanghai Port B	1:2 ✺
22.06.24	Shanghai Port B - Guangxi Lanhang	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
25.05.24	Shanghai Port B - Kunming City	6:1

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