Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Round 17

Date: 20 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Jinshan Sports Center (Shanghai)


	Shanghai Port B		Guangxi Hengchen

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.9	3.1
				Watch
	2.25	2.92	3.13
	2.24	3.04	3.19	Watch
	2.2	3	3.2
	2.22	3	3.2
	2.22	3	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.42)	2.98 ↑ (2.75)	3.16 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shanghai Port B
40.9%

Draw
30.4%

Guangxi Hengchen
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

32.5%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

32.4%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanghai Port B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Guangxi Hengchen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shanghai Port B than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (+2%)

Shanghai Port B - Guangxi Hengchen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Xi Anjie (G) 43. Lu Kun 60. Tang Yuxuan 50. Wang Yulong 11. Li Haoran 6. Zhao S. 52. Meng Jingchao 55. Wang Song 46. Liu B. 10. Liao Chongjiu 47. Lin Jinrong	43. Wang Tianci (G) 25. Ren K. 31. Zheng Yiming 21. Wang Xingqiang 3. Yuan X. 19. Zhang Yuxuan 58. Guo Z. 29. Tian Yifan 12. Yang Yun 37. Zhang Huajun 17. Zhang Xiao
Substitutes
48. Fang Yuan 54. Fan Y. 45. Jiang Erhan 57. Li Jaqi 63. Liu Z. 49. Li X. 8. Peng H. 56. Ren Zihao (G) 42. Song Chunxiao 7. Wang H. 59. Yang Zihan 51. Zhang Huiyu	39. Cui J. 24. Deng H. 6. Ding Quancheng 47. Erkin E. 4. Fang Zhengyang 53. Feng Yifan 5. Huang Chuang 8. Li Hanbo 30. Liu Y. 54. Xu Zhicheng 18. Zuo Yiteng
Coaches
Chen Xufeng	Sun W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Liu B. ⚽,
24', Wang Tianci 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zhang Xiao ↓, Liu Y. ↑,
50', 2 - 0, Wang Song ⚽, Li Haoran (A),
52', Tian Yifan ↓, Zuo Yiteng ↑,
53', Lin Jinrong ↓, Li X. ↑,
57', Zhang Huajun ↓, Fang Zhengyang ↑,
64', Liao Chongjiu ↓, Li Jaqi ↑,
65', Zhao S. ↓, Fan Y. ↑,
70', Zhang Yuxuan ↓, Deng H. ↑,
70', Yang Yun ↓, Erkin E. ↑,
79', Wang Song ↓, Yang Zihan ↑,
79', Meng Jingchao ↓, Peng H. ↑,
86', Zheng Yiming ↓, Huang Chuang ↑,
87', Li Haoran ↓, Zhang Huiyu ↑,
90+3', Liu B. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanghai Port B
Chinese Yi League
14.07.24	Shanghai Port B - Quanzhou Yassin	3:2 ✺
07.07.24	Shanghai Port B - Guangdong GZ-Power	0:1 ✺
30.06.24	Ganzhou Ruishi - Shanghai Port B	1:2 ✺
22.06.24	Shanghai Port B - Guangxi Lanhang	1:0 ✺
15.06.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Shanghai Port B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWL
- Guangxi Hengchen
Chinese Yi League
14.07.24	Guangxi Hengchen - Shenzhen Juniors	2:2 ✺
06.07.24	Kunming City - Guangxi Hengchen	0:1 ✺
30.06.24	Quanzhou Yassin - Guangxi Hengchen	1:1 ✺
24.06.24	Guangxi Hengchen - Hunan Billows	1:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.06.24	Guangxi Hengchen - Shanghai Port	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
11.05.24	Guangxi Hengchen - Shanghai Port B	1:1

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