The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shandong Taishan 42.7%
Draw 25.8%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 31.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.7%
23.4%
22.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.2%
24.9%
21.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shandong Taishan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shandong Taishan's form might have worsened.
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shandong Taishan than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shandong Taishan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (-10%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Shandong Taishan will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%). Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Yu Jinyong (G) 2. Yang Ruiqi 3. Peng Xiao 23. Alvaro P. 28. Mijit Mewlan 8. Guilherme Madruga 33. Gao Zhunyi 11. Liu Yang 7. Xie Wenneng 9. Cryzan (C) 17. Merkies R.
25. Yan Bingliang (G) 29. Ba Dun 14. Huang Jiahui 18. Cordoba A. 3. Wang Zhenghao 31. Sun Ming-Him 30. Wang Qiuming (C) 10. Salvador C. 8. Xadas 9. Quiles A. 7. Guilherme Schettine
Substitutes
29. Chen Pu 36. Liu Qiwei (G) 41. Lu J. 38. Memet Imran 42. Peng Y. 10. Qazaishvili V. 32. Sun Qihang (G) 6. Wang Tong 34. Yin Jiaxi 19. Zeca 5. Zheng Zheng
24. Chen Zhexuan 28. Guo Hao 20. Ji Shengpan 38. Li S. 19. Liu J. 16. Liu Shuai 22. Li Yongjia 21. Qi Yuxi (G) 40. Shi Yan 6. Wang Xianjun 11. Xie Weijun
Coaches
Tang T.
Yu Genwei
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Wang Qiuming 🟨,
39', Yang Ruiqi 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Yang Ruiqi ↓, Yin Jiaxi ↑,
46', Merkies R. ↓, Qazaishvili V. ↑,
66', Guilherme Schettine ↓, Ji Shengpan ↑,
66', Wang Qiuming ↓, Chen Zhexuan ↑,
69', Alvaro P. ↓, Peng Y. ↑,
75', Sun Ming-Him 🟨,
79', 0 - 1, Xadas ⚽, Quiles A. (A),
79', Wang Zhenghao ↓, Xie Weijun ↑,
79', Ba Dun ↓, Shi Yan ↑,
82', Gao Zhunyi ↓, Memet Imran ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Liu Yang ⚽, Qazaishvili V. (A),
89', Huang Jiahui ↓, Wang Xianjun ↑,
90+2', Memet Imran 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 1, Cryzan ⚽, Peng Y. (A),
90+6', Xie Wenneng ↓, Lu J. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shandong Taishan won 3.
In recent matches, Shandong Taishan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Shandong Taishan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Shandong Taishan is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Shandong Taishan: Chen Zeshi
(Inactive)
Huang Zhengyu
(Red Card)
Li Y.
(Injury)
Wang Dalei
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Xie Weijun
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shandong Taishan won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 42:21. (average 2.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Shandong Taishan won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:10. (average 2.4:1.1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Shandong Taishan
26
13
4
9
46:43
3
37
13
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
26
9
8
9
36:32
4
25
Last Results with these Odds
Shandong Taishan - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 53.69%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
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Yu Jinyong (G) 
Alvaro P. 
Guilherme Madruga 
Merkies R. 
Cordoba A. 
Qazaishvili V. 
