Match Info

Super League - Round 13

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Development Area Stadium (Changchun)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Changchun Yatai		Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

	1	X	2
	3	3.7	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.05
	3	3.6	2.18	Watch
	3.19	3.67	2.33
	3.15	3.47	2.18	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2.1
	2.97	3.66	2.18	Watch
	3	3.6	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.77)	3.58 ↓ (3.61)	2.18 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Changchun Yatai
30.6%

Draw
26.2%

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

25.9%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

26.4%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	20%	70%

Changchun Yatai - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Changchun Yatai will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Wu Yake (G) 5. Li Shenyuan 31. Sunzu S. 4. Rosic L. 20. Xuan Z. 21. Piao Taoyu 17. He Yiran 6. Zhang Huachen 37. Zhao Yingjie 9. Beric R. 29. Tan Long	25. Yan Bingliang (G) 29. Ba Dun 6. Wang Xianjun 37. Ros J. 14. Huang Jiahui 16. Yang Zihao 7. Ademi A. 10. Salvador C. 30. Wang Qiuming 8. Xadas 9. Quiles A.
Substitutes
2. Abdugheni Abduhamit 10. Omoijuanfo O. 33. Sun Guoliang 30. Sun Qinhan 11. Tian Yuda 16. Tudi Dilyimit 3. Wang Yaopeng 15. Xu Haofeng 24. Yan Zhiyu 8. Yao Xuchen 7. Zhou Junchen 42. Zou Dehai (G)	36. Guo Hao 19. Liu J. 1. Li Yuefeng (G) 23. Qian Yumiao 31. Sun Ming-Him 32. Su Yuanjie 3. Wang Zhenghao 11. Xie Weijun 4. Yang Fan 38. Zhang Wei
Coaches
Soares R.	Yu Genwei

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Xadas ⚽, Ba Dun (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', Zhao Yingjie ↓, Omoijuanfo O. ↑,
67', 0 - 2, Quiles A. ⚽, Xadas (A),
71', Quiles A. 🟨,
73', Xuan Z. ↓, Abdugheni Abduhamit ↑,
73', Zhang Huachen ↓, Tudi Dilyimit ↑,
80', Ademi A. ↓, Sun Ming-Him ↑,
89', Xadas ↓, Guo Hao ↑,
89', Ba Dun ↓, Yang Fan ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Tan Long ⚽,
90+3', Wang Qiuming ↓, Xie Weijun ↑,
90+4', Sun Ming-Him 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 0.

Changchun Yatai is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Changchun Yatai: Cyprien W. (Inactive)

There will not play in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Fang Jingqi (Injury) Shi Yan (Injury)

There are questionable in Changchun Yatai: Xuan Z. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 2 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:39. (average 1.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Changchun Yatai won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.2:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changchun Yatai
Chinese Super League
11.05.25	Changchun Yatai - Henan Songshan Longmen	0:1 ✺
05.05.25	Qingdao Hainiu - Changchun Yatai	3:0 ✺
01.05.25	Zhejiang Professional - Changchun Yatai	4:2 ✺
26.04.25	Changchun Yatai - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Changchun Yatai - Yunnan Yukun	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Chinese Super League
11.05.25	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Yunnan Yukun	0:1 ✺
05.05.25	Henan Songshan Longmen - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	3:4 ✺
01.05.25	Shenzhen Peng City - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Wuhan Three Towns - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Zhejiang Professional	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese FA Cup
17.07.24	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Changchun Yatai	4:3 ET
Chinese Super League
06.07.24	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Changchun Yatai	2:2
31.03.24	Changchun Yatai - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:1
29.07.23	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Changchun Yatai	0:0
30.04.23	Changchun Yatai - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:1
12.11.22	Changchun Yatai - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:3
15.08.22	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Changchun Yatai	2:2

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