Match Info

Date: 13 December 2020, Sunday


	Kuressaare		Maardu Linnameeskond

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.53	4.6	4.25
	1.62	4.6	3.45
	1.59	4.6	4
	1.78	5.11	3.32
	1.6	4.5	3.9	Watch
	1.6	4.6	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.39)	4.67 ↑ (4.54)	3.85 ↓ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kuressaare
56.6%

Draw
19.6%

Maardu Linnameeskond
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

19.9%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.2%

16.9%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kuressaare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kuressaare's form might have worsened.

Maardu Linnameeskond has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maardu Linnameeskond's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuressaare than the current prediction. (+19.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kuressaare, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maardu Linnameeskond than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maardu Linnameeskond, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kuressaare - Maardu Linnameeskond Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 5-3.

Recent matches Kuressaare is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Maardu Linnameeskond is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kuressaare could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Maardu Linnameeskond have a series of home games.

In this match Kuressaare is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Kuressaare won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Kuressaare won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kuressaare
Estonian Meistriliiga
10.12.20	Maardu Linnameeskond - Kuressaare	3:5 ✺
28.11.20	Tallinna Kalev - Kuressaare	1:1 ✺
24.11.20	Tallinna JK Legion - Kuressaare	0:1 ✺
21.11.20	Kuressaare - Narva Trans	0:3 ✺
07.11.20	Kuressaare - Nõmme Kalju	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTWLT
- Maardu Linnameeskond
Estonian Meistriliiga
10.12.20	Maardu Linnameeskond - Kuressaare	3:5 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
29.11.20	Maardu Linnameeskond - Pärnu Vaprus	2:1 ✺
25.11.20	Maardu Linnameeskond - Tammeka U21	2:2 ✺
21.11.20	Maardu Linnameeskond - Flora U21	3:5 ✺
05.11.20	Maardu Linnameeskond - Nõmme United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
10.12.20	Maardu Linnameeskond - Kuressaare	3:5
Club Friendly
08.02.20	Maardu Linnameeskond - Kuressaare	0:1
Estonian Meistriliiga
22.09.19	Kuressaare - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:0
17.08.19	Maardu Linnameeskond - Kuressaare	2:1
10.05.19	Kuressaare - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:0
03.04.19	Maardu Linnameeskond - Kuressaare	1:0
Estonian Esiliiga
29.10.17	Kuressaare - Maardu Linnameeskond	0:1

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