The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tallinna Kalev 26%
Draw 22.8%
Kuressaare 51.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.2%
24.8%
43%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.5%
23.8%
41.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tallinna Kalev's form might have worsened.
Kuressaare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kuressaare's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tallinna Kalev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuressaare than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kuressaare, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Tallinna Kalev - Kuressaare Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Kuressaare (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - Kuressaare (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Kuressaare will win
(21 of 21 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kuressaare will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Kuressaare (votes: 13 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Weinstein M. (G) 6. Palutaja H. 44. Dubackic D. 4. Jallow M. 22. Sotsugov D. 21. Petrunin D. 18. Mihhailov V. (C) 20. Udebuluzor M. 8. Laasner K. 50. Sambe F. 9. Usta T.
31. Nomm K. (G) 19. Jekimov M. 24. Pihela O. 15. Pajunurm M. (C) 27. Prunn S. 5. Sinilaid S. 67. Antonov I. 70. Vahermagi J. 20. Domov P. 77. Demidov E. 10. Kivi A.
Substitutes
45. Bamijoko A. 23. Ernits R. 2. Famuditimi H. 27. Ilves R. 10. Jurisoo T. 99. Lepp S. (G) 15. Ojamaa H. 12. Purje A. 17. Smirnov R. 24. Sukunda Z.
11. Iljin A. 7. Jermatsenko A. 37. Leivategija M. 66. Meesit R. (G) 73. Orren K. 17. Pevtsov G. 23. Saar R. 16. Smirnov A. 55. Soosalu R. 80. Tarkmeel R. 13. Visse A.
Coaches
Barengrub A.
Post S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Kivi A. 🟨,
43', Dubackic D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Vahermagi J. ↓, Iljin A. ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Usta T. ⚽, Udebuluzor M. (A),
63', Sinilaid S. ↓, Visse A. ↑,
68', Mihhailov V. ↓, Jurisoo T. ↑,
74', Pihela O. 🟨,
74', Udebuluzor M. ↓, Sukunda Z. ↑,
75', Laasner K. ↓, Smirnov R. ↑,
75', Demidov E. ↓, Pevtsov G. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Sambe F. ⚽, Smirnov R. (A),
83', Usta T. ↓, Purje A. ↑,
85', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
88', 2 - 1, Kivi A. ⚽, Pevtsov G. (A),
90+2', Domov P. 🟨,
Preview
Kalev is Relegated to Esiliiga
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 2.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Kuressaare may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Kalev has had a series of away games.
In this match, Kuressaare is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:35. (average 1.1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Kalev won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.3:2).
Estonia
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Weinstein M. (G) 
Palutaja H. 
Dubackic D. 
Jallow M. 
Udebuluzor M. 
Sambe F. 
Bamijoko A. 
Famuditimi H. 
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