The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kuressaare 30%
Draw 27.3%
Narva Trans 42.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.8%
24.3%
38.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38%
23.5%
37.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kuressaare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kuressaare's form might have worsened.
Narva Trans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuressaare than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kuressaare, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Narva Trans than the current prediction. (-5%)
Kuressaare - Narva Trans Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Narva Trans (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Nomm K. (C) 23. Saar R. 36. Piil R. 27. Prunn S. 68. Vahermagi J. 28. Lukas R. 5. Sinilaid S. 8. Andreas D. 77. Demidov E. 13. Visse A. 11. Jurisoo T.
30. Venteo I. (G) 16. Kondrattsev S. 5. Campagna C. 14. Filatov A. 7. Velijev M. 6. Slein G. 19. Elysee (C) 3. Berardozzi T. 24. Betancor Y. 48. Awusi W. 10. Gero A.
Substitutes
10. Kivi A. 14. Kobin J. 3. Leedo K. 72. Lohmus R. 22. Ristna S. (G) 17. Roivassepp G. 9. Svedovski A. 80. Tarkmeel R.
8. Agaptsev S. 88. Besigirskis A. 4. Ivanyushin A. 27. Pareiko D. (G) 66. Petkus E. 17. Skinjov A. 22. Zuravljov E.
Coaches
Post S.
Campana D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
2', Vahermagi J. 🟨,
40', Kondrattsev S. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Jurisoo T. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Sinilaid S. ⚽, Piil R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Elysee ↓, Skinjov A. ↑,
46', Velijev M. ↓, Agaptsev S. ↑,
54', Prunn S. 🟨,
64', 2 - 1, Agaptsev S. ⚽,
65', Slein G. ↓, Besigirskis A. ↑,
65', Filatov A. ↓, Zuravljov E. ↑,
65', Visse A. ↓, Kivi A. ↑,
66', Sinilaid S. ↓, Svedovski A. ↑,
70', Andreas D. 🟨,
72', Jurisoo T. 🟨,
85', Kondrattsev S. ↓, Ivanyushin A. ↑,
89', 3 - 1, Demidov E. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kuressaare won 1.
Kuressaare has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Narva Trans's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Narva Trans has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kuressaare won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:14. (average 1.5:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Kuressaare won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:5. (average 1.6:0.5).
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Nomm K. (C) 
Venteo I. (G) 
Campagna C. 
Velijev M. 
Elysee (C) 
Berardozzi T. 
Awusi W. 
Gero A. 
Ivanyushin A. 
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