Match Info

Meistriliiga - Relegation - Final

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Kuressaare Linnastaadion (Kuressaare)

Referee: Jaanovits J. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Soccernet TV


	Kuressaare		Viimsi JK

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	3.55	3.35	Watch
	1.97	3.67	3.35
	2.03	3.27	3.61	Watch
	1.94	3.46	3.38
	1.95	3.6	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.22)	3.51 ↓ (3.71)	3.4 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kuressaare
46.9%

Draw
26.1%

Viimsi JK
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

24.9%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

25.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kuressaare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kuressaare's performance.

Viimsi JK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Viimsi JK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuressaare than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viimsi JK than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Viimsi JK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kuressaare - Viimsi JK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Nomm K. (G) 67. Antonov I. 77. Demidov E. 20. Domov P. 19. Jekimov M. 7. Jermatsenko A. 10. Kivi A. 15. Pajunurm M. (C) 24. Pihela O. 23. Saar R. 5. Sinilaid S.	56. Sapp M. (G) 25. Allast M. (C) 33. Kane R. 20. Laidvee R. 22. Laidvee R. 43. Murage J. 5. Ollik O. 50. Saar R. 17. Seye M. A. 24. Talu R. 11. Tammeveski K.
Substitutes
1. Karofeld M. (G) 14. Kobin J. 37. Leivategija M. 66. Meesit R. (G) 73. Orren K. 27. Prunn S. 16. Smirnov A. 55. Soosalu R. 80. Tarkmeel R. 70. Vahermagi J. 13. Visse A.	31. De Pizzol O. 3. Jalle M. 96. Kollist J. T. 12. Lahe C. (G) 38. Luts J. 27. Magi K. 42. Magi O. 77. Vahe R. 99. Vaherna M. 29. Valkna M.
Coaches
Post S.	Lehtmets I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Pajunurm M. 🟨,
15', Jermatsenko A. 🟨,
37', Domov P. 🟨,
44', Antonov I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', Domov P. ↓, Leivategija M. ↑,
60', Talu R. ↓, Vahe R. ↑,
60', Kane R. ↓, Jalle M. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Kivi A. ⚽,
72', Tammeveski K. ↓, Vaherna M. ↑,
72', Saar R. ↓, Magi O. ↑,
73', Jermatsenko A. ↓, Prunn S. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Kivi A. ⚽,
76', Kivi A. 🟨,
78', Murage J. ↓, Magi K. ↑,
85', Kivi A. ↓, Visse A. ↑,
85', Saar R. ↓, Vahermagi J. ↑,
89', Jalle M. 🟨,
90+3', Sinilaid S. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Kuressaare has had a series of away games.

Kuressaare will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kuressaare won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1:0).

Including home match between the teams, Kuressaare won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kuressaare
Estonian Meistriliiga
22.11.25	Viimsi JK - Kuressaare	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Tallinna Kalev - Kuressaare	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Flora Tallinn - Kuressaare	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Kuressaare - Nõmme Kalju	0:1 ✺
21.10.25	Pärnu Vaprus - Kuressaare	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLLLW
- Viimsi JK
Estonian Meistriliiga
22.11.25	Viimsi JK - Kuressaare	0:1 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
09.11.25	Viimsi JK - Nõmme Kalju U21	4:0 ✺
02.11.25	FC Tallinn - Viimsi JK	1:2 ✺
Estonian Cup
30.10.25	Nõmme Kalju - Viimsi JK	0:1 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
27.10.25	Viimsi JK - Levadia Tallinn U21	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
22.11.25	Viimsi JK - Kuressaare	0:1
Club Friendly
16.02.25	Viimsi JK - Kuressaare	0:1
Estonian Cup
12.06.24	Viimsi JK - Kuressaare	0:1
08.07.22	Kuressaare - Viimsi JK	1:0

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