Match Info

Druga NL - Round 23

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Bjelovar		Kustošija

	1	X	2
	4.15	3.55	1.7
	3.45	3.83	1.78
	4.49	4.31	1.57	Watch
	3.5	3.6	1.75
	3.73	3.62	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↓ (4.69)	3.78 ↑ (3.78)	1.73 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bjelovar
23.5%

Draw
24%

Kustošija
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

24.1%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

23.3%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bjelovar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Kustošija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bjelovar than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kustošija than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kustošija could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bjelovar - Kustošija Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+2', 0 - 1, Krizmanic T. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Prva NL (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bjelovar won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Kustošija is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bjelovar won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Bjelovar won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bjelovar	7	4	2	1	16:9	7	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Bjelovar
Croatian Druga NL
03.04.26	Uskok Klis - Bjelovar	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Bjelovar - Lučko	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Bjelovar - Segesta	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Radnik Križevci - Bjelovar	3:1 ✺
10.03.26	Bjelovar - Varteks Varazdin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWLLW
- NK Kustošija
Croatian Druga NL
03.04.26	Kustošija - Segesta	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Radnik Križevci - Kustošija	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Kustošija - Đakovo Croatia	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Jadran Luka Ploče - Kustošija	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Kustošija - Solin	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
10.10.25	Kustošija - Bjelovar	3:0
23.05.25	Kustošija - Bjelovar	2:0
23.11.24	Bjelovar - Kustošija	3:2
04.05.24	Bjelovar - Kustošija	0:2
Club Friendly
14.02.24	Kustošija - Bjelovar	1:2
Croatian Druga NL
28.10.23	Kustošija - Bjelovar	1:1
Club Friendly
22.07.23	Bjelovar - Kustošija	2:2

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