Match Info

CROATIA: Prva NL - Relegation - Final

Date: 9 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Kustosija (Zagreb)


	Kustošija		Orijent

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.1
	2.05	3.25	3
	2.13	3.27	3.23
	2.13	3.26	3.22
	2.1	3.4	2.8
	2.22	3.24	3.27	Watch
	2.08	3.3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.2)	3.28 ↑ (3.1)	3.1 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kustošija
43%

Draw
27.7%

Orijent
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

29%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

27.8%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kustošija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Orijent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kustošija than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orijent than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Kustošija - Orijent Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Kralj K. (G) 3. Bosnjak P. 2. Boune M. 9. Guja M. 8. Islic L. 15. Markelo J. 17. Puljic A. 10. Sroler M. 5. Suskovic Jakopac F. 16. Zorica J. 14. Zulj M.	30. Mohorovic P. (G) 29. Bagadur R. 2. Braut F. 9. Bubnjar A. 10. Crnko E. 8. Gajzler N. 25. Galesic A. 4. Mulac D. 14. Muminovic S. 11. Svrljuga A. 18. Valjan K.
Substitutes
77. Bizjak L. 6. Horvat I. 26. Kukoc M. 22. Marusic D. 20. Mihaljevic I. . Petkovic F. 1. Popovic N. (G) 4. Starcic M. 7. Vajdovcic F.	3. Bodetic N. 16. Faal B. 6. Lazar F. 45. Margan L. (G) 17. Monjac M. 23. Putnik M. 28. Tadejevic M. 21. Zrilic F. 15. Zuliani N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Gajzler N. ⚽,
38', 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Markelo J. (Pen),
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Zulj M. ↓, Bizjak L. ↑,
54', Bubnjar A. ↓, Monjac M. ↑,
63', Zorica J. ↓, Vajdovcic F. ↑,
70', Valjan K. ↓, Faal B. ↑,
73', Islic L. ↓, Marusic D. ↑,
73', Sroler M. ↓, Kukoc M. ↑,
73', Markelo J. ↓, Mihaljevic I. ↑,
78', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
82', Crnko E. ↓, Putnik M. ↑,
84', 🟥,
84', 🟨,
89', 1 - 2, Monjac M. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kustošija won 2.

Kustošija in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Orijent is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Kustošija won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Kustošija won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Kustošija
Croatian Druga NL
01.06.24	Kustošija - Opatija	1:0 ✺
25.05.24	Belišće - Kustošija	1:6 ✺
18.05.24	Dugo Selo - Kustošija	0:1 ✺
10.05.24	Kustošija - Jadran Poreč	4:2 ✺
04.05.24	Bjelovar - Kustošija	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW
- HNK Orijent 1919
Croatian Prva NL
01.06.24	Orijent - Jarun Zagreb	0:0 ✺
25.05.24	Dugopolje - Orijent	0:0 ✺
18.05.24	Orijent - Solin	2:2 ✺
12.05.24	Bijelo Brdo - Orijent	0:0 ✺
04.05.24	Dubrava - Orijent	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
05.05.23	Orijent - Kustošija	2:0
08.03.23	Kustošija - Orijent	0:0
30.09.22	Orijent - Kustošija	1:0
23.04.22	Kustošija - Orijent	2:1
24.10.21	Orijent - Kustošija	0:3
20.03.21	Kustošija - Orijent	1:1
20.09.20	Orijent - Kustošija	1:1

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