Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 16

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday


	Kvant Obninsk		Metallurg Lipetsk

	1	X	2
	9.52	4.81	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.52 ↑ (7.21)	4.81 ↑ (3.94)	1.28 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kvant Obninsk
9.6%

Draw
19%

Metallurg Lipetsk
71.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.6%

23%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.2%

22.3%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kvant Obninsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Metallurg Lipetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metallurg Lipetsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kvant Obninsk than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Lipetsk than the current prediction. (-5%)

Kvant Obninsk - Metallurg Lipetsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Agalakov V. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Skvortsov A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 1 - 2, Gorunkov N. ⚽,
69', 2 - 2, Zenkevich E. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kvant won 0.

Kvant is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Metallurg Lipetsk is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Metallurg Lipetsk is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Kvant won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:24. (average 0.7:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Kvant won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Lipetsk	26	14	6	6	47:28	19	48
16	Kvant	26	1	5	20	25:72	-47	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kvant Obninsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
04.07.26	Kvant Obninsk - Arsenal 2 Tula	3:1 ✺
27.06.26	Strogino Moskva - Kvant Obninsk	3:1 ✺
20.06.26	Kvant Obninsk - SKA Khabarovsk 2	1:3 ✺
13.06.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Kvant Obninsk	4:0 ✺
06.06.26	Kvant Obninsk - Spartak Tambov	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLLL
- FC Metallurg Lipetsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
04.07.26	Oryol - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:2 ✺
27.06.26	Metallurg Lipetsk - Rodina Moscow 3	3:2 ✺
20.06.26	Saturn Ramenskoye - Metallurg Lipetsk	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Zenit Penza - Metallurg Lipetsk	2:3 ✺
06.06.26	Metallurg Lipetsk - Arsenal 2 Tula	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
05.04.26	Metallurg Lipetsk - Kvant Obninsk	1:1
06.09.25	Metallurg Lipetsk - Kvant Obninsk	1:1
17.05.25	Kvant Obninsk - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:3
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
26.09.22	Metallurg Lipetsk - Kvant Obninsk	3:0
30.07.22	Kvant Obninsk - Metallurg Lipetsk	1:1
18.04.21	Metallurg Lipetsk - Kvant Obninsk	5:0
04.10.20	Kvant Obninsk - Metallurg Lipetsk	1:2

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