Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 14

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday


	Metallurg Lipetsk		Rodina Moscow 3

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.73	3.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.07)	3.73 ↑ (3.35)	3.83 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Lipetsk
50.9%

Draw
24.9%

Rodina Moscow 3
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

27.1%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

27.2%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Lipetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metallurg Lipetsk's performance.

Rodina Moscow 3 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Lipetsk than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metallurg Lipetsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow 3 than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Metallurg Lipetsk - Rodina Moscow 3 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Manukyan V. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Agalakov V. ⚽,
27', 1 - 2, Khudoklinov V. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
74', 2 - 2, Belkovskiy M. (Own goal),
83', 3 - 2, Vedeneyev M. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 10).

Metallurg Lipetsk is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Rodina 3 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Metallurg Lipetsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Metallurg Lipetsk could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Metallurg Lipetsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Metallurg Lipetsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Lipetsk	26	14	6	6	47:28	19	48
8	Rodina Moscow 3	26	12	4	10	50:41	9	40

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metallurg Lipetsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
20.06.26	Saturn Ramenskoye - Metallurg Lipetsk	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Zenit Penza - Metallurg Lipetsk	2:3 ✺
06.06.26	Metallurg Lipetsk - Arsenal 2 Tula	3:1 ✺
30.05.26	Strogino Moskva - Metallurg Lipetsk	2:2 ✺
23.05.26	Metallurg Lipetsk - SKA Khabarovsk 2	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWWTW
- Rodina Moscow 3
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
20.06.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Zenit Penza	9:1 ✺
06.06.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Strogino Moskva	2:0 ✺
30.05.26	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Rodina Moscow 3	0:2 ✺
23.05.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Shumbrat Saransk	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Spartak Tambov - Rodina Moscow 3	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
04.10.25	Metallurg Lipetsk - Rodina Moscow 3	1:2
15.06.25	Rodina Moscow 3 - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:2

Metallurg Lipetsk - Rodina Moscow 3: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide