The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kwara United 61.3%
Draw 25.6%
Heartland 13.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.4%
26.7%
17.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.4%
24.8%
19.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kwara United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kwara United's performance.
Heartland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kwara United than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kwara United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heartland than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Heartland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kwara United - Heartland Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Nurudeen B. (G) 26. Abidemi O. 27. Adekinle S. 29. Adigun V. 14. Aimufua J. 3. Akanni A. 23. Kabiru M. 9. Ogbole E. 11. Sanni 8. Shola A. 6. Yahaya I.
23. Nwokocha E. (G) 8. Agor C. 27. Agor C. 33. Ige T. 15. Ikwu E. 26. Molokwu C. 14. Nkwo C. 21. Orji E. 25. Peters A. (C) 9. Suraju L. 32. Victor B.
Substitutes
2. Abdullahi H. . Aiyeleso S. 17. Alalade W. . Chizgoizm S. 5. Gbadamosi J. 7. Lawal A. 4. Nosiru A. 19. Ogba I. 31. Yusuf S.
17. Adoh F. 18. Anyanwu P. 22. Chiaha C. (G) 29. Itebu D. J. 20. Mgbemene I. 13. Odo J. 3. Ogu M. 28. Olanrewaju M. 16. Samuel W.
Coaches
Dogo K.
Amuneke E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Adekinle S. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Ogbole E. ⚽,
43', Adeoye V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Agor C. ↓, Ogu M. ↑,
64', Sanni ↓, Lawal A. ↑,
70', 🟨,
71', Ogbole E. ↓, Alalade W. ↑,
75', Peters A. 🟨,
79', 🟨,
81', Shola A. ↓, Yusuf S. ↑,
Preview
This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 11).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Kwara won 1.
Recent matches Kwara is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Heartland is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Kwara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Kwara have a series of guest games.
In this match Kwara is certain favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Kwara won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:7 (average 0.9:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Kwara won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).