Match Info

Date: 21 July 2022, Thursday

Location: Astana Arena (Nur-Sultan)

Referee: Anufrijevs A. (Lat)


	Kyzylzhar		Osijek

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.6	1.65
	4.8	3.5	1.72
	5	3.45	1.65
	4.5	3.55	1.71
	5.3	3.63	1.68
	5.4	3.74	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.92 ↑ (3.75)	3.58 ↑ (3.27)	1.67 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyzylzhar
18.8%

Draw
25.8%

Osijek
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

28.7%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

28.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyzylzhar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kyzylzhar's form might have worsened.

Osijek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Osijek's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyzylzhar than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kyzylzhar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Osijek, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.1%	6.3%	83.5%

Kyzylzhar - Osijek Predictions

Users Predictions: Osijek will win (66 of 79 users predict this - 83.54%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.36% – 91.72%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Kyzylzhar is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Osijek is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Osijek could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Osijek is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kyzylzhar
Kazakh Cup
16.07.22	Kyzylzhar - Kaisar	1:2 ✺
10.07.22	Kaspiy Aktau - Kyzylzhar	1:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
03.07.22	Aksu - Kyzylzhar	1:0 ✺
26.06.22	Kyzylzhar - Tobol Kostanay	1:3 ✺
19.06.22	Shakhter Karagandy - Kyzylzhar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTLLW
- NK Osijek
Croatian HNL
16.07.22	Osijek - Gorica	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.22	Osijek - Kecskemeti	2:0 ✺
09.07.22	Osijek - Krupa	1:0 ✺
02.07.22	Polet Sveti Martin na Muri - Osijek	1:7 ✺
25.06.22	Austria Klagenfurt - Osijek	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWW

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