Match Info

Premier League - Round 18

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Karasai Stadium (Petropavl)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kyzylzhar		Tobol Kostanay

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.00	3.10	2.15
	3.05	3.10	2.06	Watch
	2.91	3.46	2.31
	3.25	3.28	2.11	Watch
	2.80	3.40	2.20
	2.97	3.50	2.27	Watch
	3.00	3.25	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.77)	3.3 ↓ (3.67)	2.18 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyzylzhar
30.5%

Draw
27.7%

Tobol Kostanay
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

25.1%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

23.8%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyzylzhar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Tobol Kostanay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyzylzhar than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Kyzylzhar - Tobol Kostanay Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tobol will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Celeadnic D. (G) 26. Kerimzhanov O. 55. Noyok O. 22. Kozlenko A. 71. Sokolenko A. 96. Abiken A. 8. Makarenko E. (C) 27. Gubarev N. 9. Adil A. 99. Beugre E. 7. Muldinov T.	44. Ustimenko D. (G) 25. Borsic A. 72. Senhadji R. 5. Ndiaye P. 3. Asrankulov R. 8. Tagybergen A. (C) 6. Myakish M. 10. Chesnokov I. 19. Zhumat D. 17. Zuev A. 18. Milovanovic U.
Substitutes
17. Eleukin M. 39. Erniyazov S. (G) 77. Latifi L. 88. Pertsukh Y. 32. Petrov V. (G) 23. Piscevic N. 14. Serikbay A. 19. Serikuly D. 28. Urosevic S. 79. Valgushev G.	1. Busurmanov S. (G) 4. Cavnic N. 30. Guerra L. 22. Marochkin A. 31. Murat E. (G) 56. Musaev E. 50. Zhailaubayev A.
Coaches
Curcic M.	Romashchenko M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Zuev A. ⚽, Zhumat D. (A),
39', Abiken A. ↓, Piscevic N. ↑,
40', 1 - 1, Latifi L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Muldinov T. ↓, Valgushev G. ↑,
60', Makarenko E. ↓, Pertsukh Y. ↑,
67', Zhumat D. ↓, Guerra L. ↑,
71', Chesnokov I. 🟨,
81', Piscevic N. 🟨,
85', Gubarev N. ↓, Urosevic S. ↑,
86', Milovanovic U. ↓, Zhailaubayev A. ↑,
88', Piscevic N. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ First League and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyzylzhar won 1.

Kyzylzhar has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Tobol has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kyzylzhar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Tobol will win today's game, with odds of 2.32.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Kyzylzhar won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 8:28. (average 0.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Kyzylzhar won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.4:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Tobol	26	10	4	12	33:35	-2	34
14	Kyzylzhar	26	6	6	14	26:40	-14	24

Last Results with these Odds

Kyzylzhar - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 33.24%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kyzylzhar
Kazakh Premier League
04.07.26	Kyzylzhar - Yelimay Semey	0:1 ✺
27.06.26	Yelimay Semey - Kyzylzhar	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	Kyzylzhar - Kairat	2:4 ✺
17.06.26	Kairat - Kyzylzhar	3:0 ✺
13.06.26	Tobol Kostanay - Kyzylzhar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Tobol Kostanay
Kazakh Premier League
12.07.26	Tobol Kostanay - Okzhetpes	3:1 ✺
04.07.26	Altai Semey - Tobol Kostanay	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Tobol Kostanay - Altai Semey	3:1 ✺
21.06.26	Okzhetpes - Tobol Kostanay	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Tobol Kostanay - Kyzylzhar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
13.06.26	Tobol Kostanay - Kyzylzhar	2:0
02.08.25	Kyzylzhar - Tobol Kostanay	0:2
04.05.25	Tobol Kostanay - Kyzylzhar	2:1
11.08.24	Tobol Kostanay - Kyzylzhar	1:2
31.03.24	Kyzylzhar - Tobol Kostanay	0:0
27.09.23	Kyzylzhar - Tobol Kostanay	1:1
03.06.23	Tobol Kostanay - Kyzylzhar	1:0

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