Match Info

Premier League - Round 27

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Karasai Stadium (Petropavl)


	Kyzylzhar		Kaisar

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.20	3.30
	1.94	3.10	3.35	Watch
	2.04	3.30	4.06
	2.18	3.18	3.2	Watch
	2.01	2.75	4.00
	2.02	3.28	3.70	Watch
	1.98	3.05	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.07)	3.12 ↑ (3.05)	3.58 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyzylzhar
45.2%

Draw
29.3%

Kaisar
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyzylzhar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Kaisar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyzylzhar than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaisar than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Kyzylzhar - Kaisar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Celeadnic D. (G) 11. Cheredinov A. 96. Abiken A. 28. Urosevic S. 27. Gubarev N. 10. Bjartalid J. 55. Noyok O. 8. Makarenko E. (C) 77. Latifi L. 99. Beugre E. 13. Bahoken S.	40. Kovac A. (G) 5. Kenesbek A. (C) 93. Askarov S. 25. Bukorac S. 43. Klaidher 47. Konlimkos B. 13. Zhaksylyk N. 6. Kaldybekov E. 42. Miqueias 70. Ezekiel I. 29. Bagdat R.
Substitutes
17. Eleukin M. 39. Erniyazov S. (G) 22. Kozlenko A. 7. Muldinov T. 88. Pertsukh Y. 19. Serikuly D. 71. Sokolenko A. 53. Talyspayev D. (G) 79. Valgushev G. 47. Zhienaliev T.	10. Agostinho 9. Agzambaev N. 14. Gustavo Zago 15. Idrisov N. 2. Redzhepov T. 1. Salaydin N. (G) 7. Tazhibay B. 3. Tolegenov A. 17. Zhumabekov S.
Coaches
Zhukovskiy V.	Ferapontov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Bukorac S. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Kaldybekov E. 🟨,
54', Bahoken S. ↓, Pertsukh Y. ↑,
61', Bagdat R. ↓, Agzambaev N. ↑,
62', Ezekiel I. ↓, Agostinho ↑,
64', Latifi L. 🟨,
74', Kaldybekov E. ↓, Zhumabekov S. ↑,
74', Konlimkos B. ↓, Gustavo Zago ↑,
74', Kenesbek A. ↓, Tazhibay B. ↑,
80', Abiken A. ↓, Valgushev G. ↑,
83', Cheredinov A. 🟨,
85', 1 - 1, Agostinho ⚽, Miqueias (A),

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 15th in the Relegation ~ First League and 14th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyzylzhar won 3.

Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Kyzylzhar holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Kyzylzhar has recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:14 (averaging 1.4:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kyzylzhar against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 13:6 goals (averaging 1.4:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Kaisar Kyzylorda	26	4	12	10	22:33	-11	24
14	Kyzylzhar	26	6	6	14	26:40	-14	24

Last Results with these Odds

Kaisar - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 28.79%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kyzylzhar
Kazakh Premier League
12.09.26	Zhenis - Kyzylzhar	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Kyzylzhar - Atyrau	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Ordabasy - Kyzylzhar	3:0 ✺
16.08.26	Kyzylzhar - Astana	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Altai Semey - Kyzylzhar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLTT
- Kaisar Kyzylorda
Kazakh Premier League
12.09.26	Kaisar - Atyrau	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Altai Semey - Kaisar	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Kaisar - Okzhetpes	2:3 ✺
25.08.26	Tobol Kostanay - Kaisar	3:2 ✺
Kazakh Cup
19.08.26	Zhenis - Kaisar	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
04.04.26	Kaisar - Kyzylzhar	0:0
26.07.25	Kaisar - Kyzylzhar	1:0
27.04.25	Kyzylzhar - Kaisar	2:1
Kazakh Cup
12.04.25	Kyzylzhar - Kaisar	1:0
Kazakh Premier League
02.11.24	Kyzylzhar - Kaisar	6:2
06.03.24	Kaisar - Kyzylzhar	0:3
29.10.23	Kyzylzhar - Kaisar	0:1

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