Match Info

Date: 18 August 2022, Thursday

Location: RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne)

Referee: Martins T. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	RTL


	Köln		Videoton

	1	X	2
	1.2	6	10
	1.16	7.5	13.5
	1.19	7.25	13.5
	1.2	7.1	12
	1.18	7.37	13.73
	1.17	6.55	13.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.33)	6.96 ↑ (4.5)	12.71 ↑ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln
79.2%

Draw
13.5%

Videoton
7.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

20.5%

10.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74%

19.2%

9.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Köln's performance.

Videoton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Köln that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Videoton than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.6%	13.3%	11.1%

Köln - Videoton Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 34 - 75.6%). Videoton will win (votes: 5 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Köln: 63.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Köln is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Fehérvár is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fehérvár could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Köln is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Köln
German Bundesliga
13.08.22	RB Leipzig - Köln	2:2 ✺
07.08.22	Köln - Schalke 04	3:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
30.07.22	Jahn Regensburg - Köln	3:2 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.22	Köln - NEC Nijmegen	5:0 ✺
17.07.22	Kickers Offenbach - Köln	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWLWW
- Videoton FC
Hungarian NB I
14.08.22	Ferencvárosi - Videoton	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.08.22	Petrocub-Hîncești - Videoton	1:2 ✺
Hungarian NB I
07.08.22	Videoton - Budapest Honved	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
04.08.22	Videoton - Petrocub-Hîncești	5:0 ✺
Hungarian NB I
31.07.22	Paksi SE - Videoton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWL

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