The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Union Berlin 36%
Draw 26.3%
Köln 37.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38%
26.2%
35.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.5%
26.4%
36.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
66.7%
0%
Union Berlin - Köln Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3 - under (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 17th in the Relegation - 2. Bundesliga and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Union Berlin has recorded 10 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:25 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Union Berlin against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 14:6 goals (averaging 1.6:0.7 per game).