Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 16

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Köln II		Borussia Dortmund II

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.85	2.05
	2.72	3.87	2.17	Watch
	2.95	3.62	2.06
	3	3.75	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.72)	3.77 ↓ (3.87)	2.09 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln II
31.7%

Draw
24.3%

Borussia Dortmund II
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

23.8%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

23.2%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Borussia Dortmund II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln II than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Köln II - Borussia Dortmund II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
13', 0 - 1, Wustenhagen B. ⚽,
14', 0 - 2, Mane F. ⚽,
17', 1 - 2, Neumann C. ⚽,
31', 2 - 2, Adamyan S. ⚽,
44', 2 - 3, Drakas B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 2 - 4, Wessels A. ⚽,
77', 3 - 4, Lennemann B. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 5, Mane F. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln II won 1.

Köln II has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Borussia Dortmund II is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Köln II won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:23. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Köln II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.7:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. Köln II
German Regionalliga West
08.11.25	Rödinghausen - Köln II	2:3 ✺
02.11.25	Köln II - Velbert	4:1 ✺
25.10.25	Fortuna Köln - Köln II	3:2 ✺
18.10.25	Köln II - Bonner	0:1 ✺
03.10.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Köln II	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLLT
- Borussia Dortmund II
German Regionalliga West
08.11.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Schalke 04 II	4:1 ✺
02.11.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Bocholt	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Rödinghausen - Borussia Dortmund II	2:4 ✺
18.10.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Velbert	5:0 ✺
04.10.25	Fortuna Köln - Borussia Dortmund II	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
23.01.21	Köln II - Borussia Dortmund II	0:3
12.09.20	Borussia Dortmund II - Köln II	2:1
14.09.19	Köln II - Borussia Dortmund II	0:3
01.04.19	Köln II - Borussia Dortmund II	2:0
25.09.18	Borussia Dortmund II - Köln II	3:0
05.05.18	Köln II - Borussia Dortmund II	1:1
13.03.18	Borussia Dortmund II - Köln II	1:3

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