Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 38

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Lohmühle (Lubeck)

Referee: Lechner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Lübeck		Rot-Weiß Essen

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.8	1.9	Watch
	3.4	3.75	1.95
	3.4	3.75	1.95
	3.51	3.84	1.98
	3.51	3.84	1.98
	3.2	3.7	1.91
	3.35	3.77	1.94	Watch
	3.35	3.8	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↓ (3.64)	3.78 ↓ (3.83)	1.94 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lübeck
27.5%

Draw
24.6%

Rot-Weiß Essen
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

24.3%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

23.6%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lübeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Rot-Weiß Essen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	78.6%	7.1%

Lübeck - Rot Weiß Essen Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Lübeck will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Rot-Weiß Essen will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 78.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 57.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Klewin P. (G) 7. Hauptmann M. 30. Lohden J. (C) 27. Reddemann S. 37. Sternberg J. 20. Taffertshofer U. 34. Adou E. 8. Egerer F. 25. Gozusirin T. 13. Thiel M. 16. Beleme D.	1. Golz J. (G) 18. Kaiser N. 23. Rios Alonso J. 16. Kourouma M. 14. Brumme L. 27. Sapina V. (C) 26. Musel T. 11. Obuz M. 10. Eisfeld T. 30. Young I. 20. Vonic L.
Substitutes
14. Akono C. 39. Breier P. 23. Daube M. 28. Didzilatis G. (G) 11. Drinkuth F. 10. Farrona-Pulido M. 5. Herzog A. 3. Kastenhofer N. 21. Velasco R.	9. Berlinski R. 29. Doumbouya M. 21. Plechaty S. 6. Rother B. 37. Ruth F. 31. Springer O. (G) 2. Voelcke S. 19. Voufack E. 35. Wienand F. (G)
Coaches
Martens J.	Dabrowski C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Hauptmann M. ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, Vonic L. ⚽, Eisfeld T. (A),
22', 2 - 1, Adou E. ⚽,
31', Obuz M. ↓, Plechaty S. ↑,
43', 2 - 2, Vonic L. ⚽, Plechaty S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 3 - 2, Sternberg J. ⚽, Taffertshofer U. (A),
63', Young I. 🟨,
64', Musel T. ↓, Voufack E. ↑,
64', Brumme L. ↓, Voelcke S. ↑,
68', Thiel M. ↓, Velasco R. ↑,
68', Adou E. ↓, Drinkuth F. ↑,
74', 3 - 3, Vonic L. ⚽, Kaiser N. (A),
80', Beleme D. ↓, Akono C. ↑,
80', Egerer F. ↓, Farrona-Pulido M. ↑,
80', Kaiser N. ↓, Rother B. ↑,
80', Sapina V. ↓, Berlinski R. ↑,
88', Lohden J. ↓, Kastenhofer N. ↑,
90+1', Sternberg J. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Lübeck is Relegated to

Lübeck is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rot-Weiß Essen is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rot-Weiß Essen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rot-Weiß Essen will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lübeck won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vfb Lübeck
German 3 Bundesliga
11.05.24	Ingolstadt - Lübeck	6:1 ✺
03.05.24	Lübeck - Duisburg	5:3 ✺
26.04.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Lübeck	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	Lübeck - Borussia Dortmund II	0:5 ✺
13.04.24	Unterhaching - Lübeck	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWTLL
- Rot-Weiß Essen
German 3 Bundesliga
10.05.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - 1860 München	0:1 ✺
04.05.24	Sandhausen - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:0 ✺
28.04.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - Ingolstadt	4:0 ✺
24.04.24	Saarbrücken - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1 ✺
21.04.24	Waldhof Mannheim - Rot-Weiß Essen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
15.12.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Lübeck	1:0
Club Friendly
24.01.16	Rot-Weiß Essen - Lübeck	3:0

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