Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 34

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Lohmühle (Lubeck)

Referee: Brombacher J. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Lübeck		Borussia Dortmund II

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.4	2.6	Watch
	2.55	3.4	2.6
	2.6	3.3	2.6	Watch
	2.62	3.55	2.66
	2.62	3.54	2.66
	2.4	3.4	2.5
	2.55	3.49	2.49	Watch
	2.55	3.35	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.44)	3.43 ↓ (3.48)	2.58 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lübeck
36.5%

Draw
27.3%

Borussia Dortmund II
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

26.9%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

26.4%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lübeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Borussia Dortmund II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Lübeck - Borussia Dortmund II Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Lübeck will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Borussia Dortmund II will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lübeck: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Klewin P. (G) 22. Sommer L. 30. Lohden J. 43. Westphal J. 37. Sternberg J. 20. Taffertshofer U. (C) 8. Egerer F. 21. Velasco R. 25. Gozusirin T. 10. Farrona-Pulido M. 33. Schneider J.	35. Lotka M. (G) 17. Gobel P. 23. Pfanne F. (C) 18. Papadopoulos A. 3. Bueno G. 6. Azhil A. 30. Pohlmann O. 8. Roggow F. 20. Hettwer J. 22. Besong P. 27. Elongo-Yombo R.
Substitutes
34. Adou E. 14. Akono C. 16. Beleme D. 28. Didzilatis G. (G) 11. Drinkuth F. 7. Hauptmann M. 27. Reddemann S. 35. Stein Y. (G) 13. Thiel M.	15. Aidonis A. 11. Butler J. 16. Lutke-Frie D. 10. Michel F. 31. Ostrzinski S. (G) 9. Otuali M. 13. Pudel B. 5. Suver M. 19. Tattermusch T.
Coaches
Martens J.	Zimmermann J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
10', 0 - 1, Elongo-Yombo R. ⚽, Pohlmann O. (A),
22', 0 - 2, Elongo-Yombo R. ⚽, Azhil A. (A),
23', Taffertshofer U. 🟨,
33', 0 - 3, Pfanne F. ⚽,
35', Schneider J. 🟨,
38', Sternberg J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', Farrona-Pulido M. 🟨,
55', Pfanne F. 🟨,
58', Taffertshofer U. 🟨,
61', Velasco R. ↓, Beleme D. ↑,
71', Westphal J. ↓, Reddemann S. ↑,
77', 0 - 4, Besong P. ⚽,
78', Bueno G. ↓, Pudel B. ↑,
78', Farrona-Pulido M. ↓, Thiel M. ↑,
78', Besong P. ↓, Butler J. ↑,
78', Azhil A. ↓, Michel F. ↑,
78', Gozusirin T. ↓, Adou E. ↑,
79', Schneider J. ↓, Drinkuth F. ↑,
85', 0 - 5, Pudel B. ⚽, Pohlmann O. (A),
87', Elongo-Yombo R. ↓, Otuali M. ↑,
87', Roggow F. ↓, Lutke-Frie D. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Lübeck is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Borussia Dortmund II has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lübeck won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vfb Lübeck
German 3 Bundesliga
13.04.24	Unterhaching - Lübeck	4:1 ✺
06.04.24	Lübeck - Verl	0:0 ✺
31.03.24	Viktoria Köln - Lübeck	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Lübeck - Jahn Regensburg	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Freiburg II - Lübeck	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTLWL
- Borussia Dortmund II
German 3 Bundesliga
13.04.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Ingolstadt	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Sandhausen - Borussia Dortmund II	3:2 ✺
30.03.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Waldhof Mannheim	1:2 ✺
17.03.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - Borussia Dortmund II	4:0 ✺
09.03.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Arminia Bielefeld	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
11.11.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Lübeck	1:1

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