Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 37

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Audi Sportpark (Ingolstadt)

Referee: Wienefeld J. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Ingolstadt		Lübeck

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	5.5	Watch
	1.51	4.4	5.5
	1.5	4.5	5.5
	1.51	4.76	5.83
	1.51	4.76	5.83
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.49	4.39	5.54	Watch
	1.48	4.5	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.49)	4.5 ↓ (4.59)	5.6 ↑ (5.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ingolstadt
62.6%

Draw
20.7%

Lübeck
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

20.3%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

19.6%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Lübeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Ingolstadt - Lübeck Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ingolstadt will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Lübeck will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Funk M. (G) 22. Costly M. 16. Malone R. 32. Lorenz S. 23. Seiffert M. 34. Frode L. (C) 29. Kopacz D. 43. Keidel F. 20. Deichmann Y. 37. Testroet P. 11. Gronning S.	28. Didzilatis G. (G) 7. Hauptmann M. 30. Lohden J. 27. Reddemann S. 37. Sternberg J. 20. Taffertshofer U. 5. Herzog A. 11. Drinkuth F. 25. Gozusirin T. 10. Farrona-Pulido M. 16. Beleme D.
Substitutes
19. Cvjetinovic M. 10. Dittgen M. 30. Drakulic O. 8. Kanuric B. 48. Kayo B. 31. Kugel J. 25. Llugiqi A. 40. Ponath M. (G) 21. Schrock T.	34. Adou E. 14. Akono C. 39. Breier P. 23. Daube M. 8. Egerer F. 1. Klewin P. (G) 2. Kolle R. 13. Thiel M. 21. Velasco R.
Coaches
Wittmann S.	Martens J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Seiffert M. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Gronning S. ⚽, Kopacz D. (A),
31', 2 - 1, Herzog A. ⚽, Gozusirin T. (A),
34', 3 - 1, Testroet P. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Reddemann S. ↓, Egerer F. ↑,
51', Lorenz S. 🟨,
56', Lorenz S. ↓, Schrock T. ↑,
56', Testroet P. ↓, Kugel J. ↑,
56', Keidel F. ↓, Kanuric B. ↑,
57', Costly M. 🟨,
62', Farrona-Pulido M. ↓, Adou E. ↑,
62', Drinkuth F. ↓, Velasco R. ↑,
62', Herzog A. ↓, Akono C. ↑,
65', 4 - 1, Gronning S. ⚽,
70', Deichmann Y. ↓, Dittgen M. ↑,
70', Hauptmann M. ↓, Kolle R. ↑,
75', Lohden J. 🟨,
80', Gronning S. 🟨,
82', Gronning S. ↓, Drakulic O. ↑,
87', 5 - 1, Drakulic O. ⚽,
90+3', 6 - 1, Kanuric B. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Lübeck is Relegated to

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Lübeck could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ingolstadt is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ingolstadt won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Ingolstadt won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 3 Bundesliga
05.05.24	Ingolstadt - Waldhof Mannheim	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - Ingolstadt	4:0 ✺
20.04.24	Ingolstadt - Duisburg	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Ingolstadt	1:1 ✺
05.04.24	Ingolstadt - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLWTT
- Vfb Lübeck
German 3 Bundesliga
03.05.24	Lübeck - Duisburg	5:3 ✺
26.04.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Lübeck	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	Lübeck - Borussia Dortmund II	0:5 ✺
13.04.24	Unterhaching - Lübeck	4:1 ✺
06.04.24	Lübeck - Verl	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
09.12.23	Lübeck - Ingolstadt	0:4
21.04.21	Lübeck - Ingolstadt	1:1
05.12.20	Ingolstadt - Lübeck	1:1

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