Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 21

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	L Aquila		Campobasso

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.75
	2.42	2.94	2.83
	2.25	3	2.62
	2.4	3.04	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.32)	3.02 ↑ (2.9)	2.77 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

L Aquila
38.3%

Draw
29.5%

Campobasso
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

31.3%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

33.4%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

L Aquila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Campobasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for L Aquila than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Recently L Aquila have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches L Aquila won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams L Aquila won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- L Aquila Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
21.01.24	Real Monterotondo - L Aquila	1:1 ✺
14.01.24	L Aquila - Chieti	1:1 ✺
07.01.24	Matese - L Aquila	0:1 ✺
20.12.23	Notaresco - L Aquila	0:0 ✺
10.12.23	United Riccione - L Aquila	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TTWTW
- Campobasso
Italian Serie D - Group F
21.01.24	Campobasso - Atletico Ascoli	1:1 ✺
14.01.24	Campobasso - Matese	2:0 ✺
07.01.24	Real Monterotondo - Campobasso	1:3 ✺
20.12.23	Termoli - Campobasso	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Campobasso - Chieti	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
01.10.23	Campobasso - L Aquila	2:3
04.04.18	L Aquila - Campobasso	4:1
01.11.17	Campobasso - L Aquila	0:0
Italian Lega Pro C2/B
03.03.13	L Aquila - Campobasso	0:1

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