The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
L Aquila 69.3%
Draw 19.4%
Chieti 11.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.4%
21.2%
14.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.6%
20.2%
13.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
L Aquila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
Chieti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for L Aquila than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chieti than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
L Aquila - Chieti Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. L Aquila (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Di Renzo L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 1 - 1, Mbaye A. ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, L Aquila won 2.
L Aquila is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Chieti's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, L Aquila is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, L Aquila won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, L Aquila won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).