The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Notaresco 31.9%
Draw 27.2%
L Aquila 40.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.9%
26.8%
41.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31%
26%
42.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Notaresco have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
L Aquila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for L Aquila than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Notaresco - L Aquila Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Banegas P. E. (Pen),
35', 1 - 1, Arrigoni A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
79', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Notaresco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Notaresco won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
Including home matches between the teams, Notaresco won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
Watch
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