Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 20

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Nuovo Romagnoli (Campobasso)


	Campobasso		Atletico Ascoli

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.6	5.75
	1.51	3.7	5.62
	1.44	3.6	6
	1.5	3.74	6.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.82)	3.66 ↑ (3.1)	5.88 ↑ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Campobasso
60.3%

Draw
24.5%

Atletico Ascoli
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

29.2%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

28.1%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Campobasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Campobasso's performance.

Atletico Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atletico Ascoli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Campobasso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico Ascoli than the current prediction. (+5%)

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 11).

Campobasso in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Atletico Ascoli is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atletico Ascoli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Campobasso is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Campobasso won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Campobasso
Italian Serie D - Group F
14.01.24	Campobasso - Matese	2:0 ✺
07.01.24	Real Monterotondo - Campobasso	1:3 ✺
20.12.23	Termoli - Campobasso	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Campobasso - Chieti	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Notaresco - Campobasso	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWTWW
- Atletico Ascoli
Italian Serie D - Group F
17.01.24	Chieti - Atletico Ascoli	0:2 ✺
14.01.24	Atletico Ascoli - Termoli	1:2 ✺
20.12.23	United Riccione - Atletico Ascoli	0:1 ✺
17.12.23	Atletico Ascoli - Notaresco	1:1 ✺
10.12.23	Sambenedettese - Atletico Ascoli	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
24.09.23	Atletico Ascoli - Campobasso	2:2

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