Match Info

Serie B - Round 21

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Vinotinto		LDU Portoviejo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.25	5.00
	1.57	3.45	5.40	Watch
	1.64	3.50	5.83
	1.66	3.41	5.72	Watch
	1.68	3.56	5.23	Watch
	1.63	3.20	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.61)	3.4 ↓ (3.45)	5.4 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vinotinto
56.1%

Draw
27%

LDU Portoviejo
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

26.3%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

25.4%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

LDU Portoviejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Portoviejo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Vinotinto - LDU Portoviejo Predictions

Users Predictions: Vinotinto will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 9 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Vinotinto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Vinotinto is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vinotinto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Vinotinto	29	13	9	7	37:22	15	48

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuadorian Copa
05.08.26	Vinotinto - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:3 ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
29.07.26	Vinotinto - San Antonio	0:1 ✺
23.07.26	Independiente Juniors - Vinotinto	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Vinotinto - El Nacional	2:1 ✺
01.07.26	Vinotinto - Gualaceo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL
- LDU Portoviejo
Ecuadorian Serie B
08.08.26	LDU Portoviejo - Cumbayá	0:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
05.08.26	LDU Portoviejo - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
30.07.26	Atlético Rojiblanco - LDU Portoviejo	1:0 ✺
24.07.26	LDU Portoviejo - Deportivo Santo Domingo	1:0 ✺
17.07.26	LDU Portoviejo - Independiente Juniors	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
23.05.26	LDU Portoviejo - Vinotinto	1:0

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