Match Info
Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 2Date: 4 September 2026, FridayLocation: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+ |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
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El Nacional |
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LDU Portoviejo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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2.10 |
2.85 |
3.40 |
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 |
2.20 |
2.95 |
3.10 |
Watch |
 |
2.23 |
2.93 |
3.56 |
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 |
2.22 |
2.96 |
3.54 |
Watch |
 |
2.23 |
2.82 |
3.24 |
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 |
2.18 |
3.12 |
3.43 |
Watch |
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2.10 |
2.90 |
3.35 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↓
(2.63) |
2.93 ↓
(3.2) |
3.37 ↑
(2.35) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
El Nacional
41.9% | Draw
31.1% | LDU Portoviejo
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in El Nacional's performance.LDU Portoviejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and LDU Portoviejo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Nacional that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Portoviejo than the current prediction. (+10.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that LDU Portoviejo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.El Nacional - LDU Portoviejo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 0.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.El Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.6:1.9).Including home matches between the teams, El Nacional won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ecuadorian Serie B | | | 31.05.26 | El Nacional - LDU Portoviejo | 0:1 | | 28.03.26 | LDU Portoviejo - El Nacional | 2:1 | | 31.08.21 | El Nacional - LDU Portoviejo | 1:1 | | 14.07.21 | LDU Portoviejo - El Nacional | 2:0 | | 02.06.21 | El Nacional - LDU Portoviejo | 1:2 | | 30.03.21 | LDU Portoviejo - El Nacional | 3:0 | | Ecuadorian Liga Pro | | | 15.10.20 | LDU Portoviejo - El Nacional | 3:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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