The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
LEntregu 18.4%
Draw 26.8%
Covadonga 54.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.7%
26.8%
54.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.5%
26.5%
55.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
LEntregu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Covadonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for LEntregu than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
LEntregu - Covadonga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
1', 0 - 1, Germanier B. ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Fernandez I. ⚽,
42', 0 - 3, Alvarez V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
77', 0 - 4, Arias S. ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LEntregu won 1.
In recent matches, LEntregu has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Covadonga is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, Covadonga is a strong favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, LEntregu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.6:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, LEntregu won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).