The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mosconia 23.4%
Draw 31.6%
Covadonga 45%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.2%
26.7%
51.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.7%
26.1%
52.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mosconia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Covadonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Covadonga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mosconia than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Covadonga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mosconia - Covadonga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
First leg.
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mosconia won 0.
Mosconia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Covadonga is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
In this match, Covadonga is seen as the favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mosconia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.7:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Mosconia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
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