Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 32

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday


	LGKS 38 Podlesianka		Carina Gubin

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.6	1.88
	3.25	3.7	1.93
	2.87	3.8	2.02
	3.09	3.92	1.96	Watch
	3.32	4.05	1.92	Watch
	3.25	3.7	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.07)	3.8 ↑ (3.65)	1.94 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LGKS 38 Podlesianka
28.9%

Draw
24.1%

Carina Gubin
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

24.9%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

25.4%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LGKS 38 Podlesianka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that LGKS 38 Podlesianka's form might have worsened.

Carina Gubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carina Gubin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LGKS 38 Podlesianka than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for LGKS 38 Podlesianka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carina Gubin than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carina Gubin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

LGKS 38 Podlesianka - Carina Gubin Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Carina Gubin (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 2)
10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, ⚽,
20', 3 - 0, ⚽,
22', 4 - 0, ⚽,
24', 4 - 1, ⚽,
42', 4 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 5 - 2, ⚽,
87', 5 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 4).

Recent form of Podlesianka has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Carina Gubin is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Podlesianka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LGKS 38 Podlesianka
Polish Division 3 - Group III
21.05.25	Pniówek Pawłowice - LGKS 38 Podlesianka	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	LGKS 38 Podlesianka - Ślęza Wrocław	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Stal Brzeg - LGKS 38 Podlesianka	2:2 ✺
02.05.25	LGKS 38 Podlesianka - Polonia Słubice	5:1 ✺
26.04.25	Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski - LGKS 38 Podlesianka	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTWL
- Carina Gubin
Polish Division 3 - Group III
21.05.25	Carina Gubin - Kluczbork	1:0 ✺
18.05.25	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Carina Gubin	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Carina Gubin - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	3:0 ✺
01.05.25	Unia Turza Śląska - Carina Gubin	0:5 ✺
26.04.25	Carina Gubin - Górnik 2 Zabrze	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
31.10.24	Carina Gubin - LGKS 38 Podlesianka	4:1

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